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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | sell | 13 | $0.951 | $12.36 | 18d ago |
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| sell |
| 15 |
| $0.982 |
| $14.73 |
| 18d ago |
US recession by end of 2026?No | sell | 17 | $0.920 | $15.64 | 18d ago |
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | sell | 16 | $0.998 | $15.97 | 18d ago |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 17 | $0.962 | $16.35 | 18d ago |
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy before 2027?No | sell | 17 | $0.972 | $16.52 | 18d ago |
EU dissolves before 2027?No | sell | 17 | $0.976 | $16.59 | 18d ago |
Fed abolished before 2027?No | sell | 17 | $0.980 | $16.66 | 18d ago |
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | sell | 17 | $0.981 | $16.68 | 18d ago |
Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 18 | $0.930 | $16.74 | 18d ago |
China coup attempt before 2027?No | sell | 18 | $0.955 | $17.19 | 18d ago |
US defaults on debt by 2027?No | sell | 18 | $0.967 | $17.41 | 18d ago |
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy before 2027?-kuQeNo | sell | 18 | $0.976 | $17.57 | 18d ago |
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?No | sell | 18 | $0.985 | $17.74 | 18d ago |
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No | sell | 18 | $0.986 | $17.75 | 18d ago |
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No | sell | 19 | $0.980 | $18.62 | 18d ago |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 39.6 | $0.961 | $38.06 | 18d ago |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 21.6 | $0.910 | $19.66 | Feb 7, 2026 |
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy before 2027?-kuQeNo | buy | 18 | $0.976 | $17.57 | Feb 7, 2026 |
China coup attempt before 2027?No | buy | 18 | $0.910 | $16.38 | Feb 7, 2026 |
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No | buy | 19 | $0.959 | $18.22 | Feb 7, 2026 |
Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 18 | $0.850 | $15.3 | Feb 5, 2026 |
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?No | buy | 18 | $0.988 | $17.78 | Feb 5, 2026 |
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No | buy | 18 | $0.940 | $16.92 | Feb 3, 2026 |
US civil war before 2027?No | buy | 17 | $0.904 | $15.37 | Feb 1, 2026 |
US defaults on debt by 2027?No | buy | 18 | $0.965 | $17.37 | Feb 1, 2026 |
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 19 | $0.994 | $18.89 | Jan 30, 2026 |
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?No | buy | 15 | $0.979 | $14.69 | Jan 28, 2026 |
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy before 2027?No | buy | 17 | $0.959 | $16.3 | Jan 25, 2026 |
Fed abolished before 2027?No | buy | 17 | $0.976 | $16.59 | Jan 24, 2026 |
EU dissolves before 2027?No | buy | 17 | $0.945 | $16.06 | Jan 21, 2026 |
US recession by end of 2026?No | buy | 17 | $0.800 | $13.6 | Jan 19, 2026 |
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 17 | $0.973 | $16.54 | Jan 17, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 17 | $0.870 | $14.79 | Jan 15, 2026 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 18 | $0.930 | $16.74 | Jan 14, 2026 |
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 16 | $0.995 | $15.92 | Jan 11, 2026 |
Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 13 | $0.930 | $12.09 | Jan 4, 2026 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | sell | 113 | $0.999 | $112.89 | Jan 1, 2026 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | buy | 109 | $0.999 | $108.89 | Dec 31, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | sell | 98 | $0.996 | $97.61 | Dec 27, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 111 | $0.998 | $110.78 | Dec 26, 2025 |
Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | sell | 123 | $0.995 | $122.39 | Dec 25, 2025 |
Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 118 | $0.997 | $117.65 | Dec 24, 2025 |
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | sell | 97 | $0.995 | $96.52 | Dec 23, 2025 |
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 111 | $0.996 | $110.56 | Dec 22, 2025 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | sell | 103 | $0.994 | $102.38 | Dec 20, 2025 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | buy | 109 | $0.994 | $108.35 | Dec 19, 2025 |
Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?No | sell | 100 | $0.997 | $99.7 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?No | buy | 105 | $0.998 | $104.79 | Dec 17, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | sell | 108 | $0.986 | $106.49 | Dec 15, 2025 |