Latest trade
Oct 24, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 2:09 AM UTC.
Analytics
Rapid Falcon 52AB is down $758.68 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-23 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 24, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 2:09 AM UTC.
$14.65 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 30 markets; 54.0% were buys. They run from Oct 22, 2026 UTC to Oct 24, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 100 | $0.420 | $38 | -$4 |
 Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Lionel Messi attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.310 | $15.5 | 1h ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-23 23:28 UTC
Polymarket public position response
46 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 02:09 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 02:09 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-23 23:28 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $121.14 and losing ones cost $665.09 across the latest 50 settled positions. 18% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $34.14 on “Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?” (Yes); the largest loss, $70 on “Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 24 Oct 2026. It has traded 274 markets. Its open positions are worth $311.16 across 46 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 50 |
| $0.670 |
| $32.25 |
| -$1.25 |
 Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027? | No | 50 | $0.600 | $28.75 | -$1.25 |
 Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 50 | $0.657 | $28.38 | -$4.48 |
 Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.440 | $21.75 | -$0.25 |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? | No | 50 | $0.470 | $20.5 | -$3 |
| Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027? | Yes | 50 | $0.440 | $19.5 | -$2.5 |
 Will no listed leader be out before 2027? | No | 37.95 | $0.520 | $19.17 | -$0.57 |
| Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? | Yes | 50 | $0.400 | $18 | -$2 |
 Glider FDV above $150M one day after launch? | No | 20 | $0.740 | $14.1 | -$0.7 |
 Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.290 | $11.75 | -$2.75 |
 Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? | Yes | 50 | $0.480 | $9.75 | -$14.25 |
 Will Dota 2 average more Steam players in November than in October? | No | 20 | $0.540 | $5.6 | -$5.2 |
 Will David Beckham attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony? | Yes | 9.17 | $0.630 | $5.5 | -$0.28 |
 Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.92% in October? | No | 4.49 | $0.440 | $4.31 | +$2.33 |
 Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026? | Yes | 4.2 | $0.696 | $4.09 | +$1.17 |
 Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher? | No | 22.22 | $0.230 | $4 | -$1.11 |
 Will Seattle have less than 1.75 inches of precipitation in October? | Yes | 4.66 | $0.290 | $3.94 | +$2.59 |
 Paris curfew effectively lifted by November 7? | No | 20 | $0.340 | $2.9 | -$3.9 |
 Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)? | Yes | 3.99 | $0.540 | $2.37 | +$0.22 |
 Will IMAX (IMAX) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 50 | $0.230 | $2.25 | -$9.25 |
 Will Joakim Nilsson win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year? | Yes | 20 | $0.109 | $1.54 | -$0.64 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028? | No | 3.38 | $0.380 | $1.4 | +$0.12 |
 Will 0 Independents be elected to Congress in 2026? | No | 2.73 | $0.422 | $1.38 | +$0.23 |
 Will Kylian Mbappé attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony? | No | 20 | $0.180 | $1.26 | -$2.34 |
| sell |
| 50 |
| $0.230 |
| $11.5 |
| 2h ago |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.230 | $4.6 | 2h ago |
| Will Joakim Nilsson win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.109 | $2.18 | 2h ago |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher?No | sell | 17.77 | $0.220 | $3.91 | 2h ago |
| Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.670 | $33.5 | 3h ago |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?Yes | sell | 9.75 | $0.330 | $3.22 | 4h ago |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?Yes | sell | 10.54 | $0.340 | $3.58 | 4h ago |
 Will Republicans win the Mississippi, South Carolina, and Montana Senate seats?No | sell | 19.58 | $0.260 | $5.09 | 4h ago |
| Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.440 | $22 | 5h ago |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?Yes | sell | 29.71 | $0.340 | $10.1 | 5h ago |
| SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.360 | $18 | 5h ago |
| SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.480 | $24 | 5h ago |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.32 | $0.340 | $0.45 | 6h ago |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?Yes | buy | 48.68 | $0.340 | $16.55 | 6h ago |
 Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.570 | $11.4 | 7h ago |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?Yes | sell | 6.91 | $0.330 | $2.28 | 7h ago |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?Yes | buy | 6.91 | $0.360 | $2.49 | 7h ago |
| Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027?No | buy | 50 | $0.600 | $30 | 7h ago |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.320 | $16 | 9h ago |
| Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.290 | $14.5 | 10h ago |
| Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.580 | $29 | 10h ago |
 Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.581 | $29.05 | 10h ago |
| Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.580 | $29 | 10h ago |
 Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?No | sell | 50 | $0.640 | $32 | 12h ago |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.470 | $23.5 | 12h ago |
| Will no listed leader be out before 2027?No | buy | 37.95 | $0.520 | $19.73 | 13h ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.580 | $29 | 14h ago |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.580 | $11.6 | 14h ago |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by November 30?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.240 | $12 | 15h ago |
| Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.400 | $20 | 16h ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.580 | $29 | 18h ago |
| Will Lionel Messi attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.320 | $16 | 18h ago |
| Will AP call US House control by November 5, 11:59 PM?No | sell | 6.44 | $0.123 | $0.79 | 19h ago |
| Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.657 | $32.85 | 20h ago |
 Anthropic commits shares to Trump Accounts by November 30?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.070 | $1.4 | 21h ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.28 | $0.590 | $0.76 | 21h ago |
 Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?No | sell | 20 | $0.740 | $14.8 | 22h ago |
| Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.740 | $14.8 | 22h ago |
| Will David Beckham attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Yes | buy | 9.17 | $0.630 | $5.78 | 22h ago |
| Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?No | sell | 50 | $0.617 | $30.85 | 1d ago |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher?No | buy | 20 | $0.210 | $4.2 | 1d ago |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.280 | $5.6 | 1d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.260 | $5.2 | 1d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 18.77 | $0.260 | $4.88 | 1d ago |
| Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.590 | $29.5 | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.480 | $24 | 1d ago |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher?No | buy | 19.99 | $0.250 | $5 | 1d ago |
 Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.340 | $17 | 1d ago |
 NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.720 | $14.4 | 1d ago |
3 of 5 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 3 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.