
Yes is at 83%, about where the market opened on 23 Oct 2026.
Across the 2 daily closes on record from 23 Oct 2026 to 23 Oct 2026, the price held at 83%.
It is one of 4 markets under “Paris curfew effectively lifted by...?”.
$1.86K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $2.02K since listing. The order book holds $16.55K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 20 trades, $897.47 bought Yes and $54.5 bought No.
The largest Yes position is DerDon with 1K shares; the largest No position is lissartter with 176. Ten wallets hold 89% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 7 Nov 2026, 16 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 12:48 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 23 Oct 2026 – 23 Oct 2026, chart shows 78%–88%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Oct 2026 | 83.0% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 83.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| DerDon | Yes | 1K |
| lissartter | No | 176.38 |
| JsonStatham | No | 160.37 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any full calendar day between the day of market creation and the specified date, inclusive (Paris time), passes without any curfew in effect in any part of the City of Paris, France. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A calendar day passes without any curfew in effect if, at no point between 12:00 AM and 11:59 PM Paris time on that day, a curfew is in effect in any part of the City of Paris. The City of Paris refers to the municipality (commune) of Paris, within its official municipal boundaries. A curfew refers to a governmental order which generally prohibits the general population from being present in, or moving through, public spaces in the City of Paris, or a defined area of it, during a specific timeframe or specific hours. A curfew of any scope will count, whether citywide or limited to specific arrondissements, districts, or neighborhoods of the City of Paris, and must be officially declared by the City of Paris, the Paris Police Prefecture (Préfecture de police), or a French national authority. A broader curfew (e.g. department-wide or nationwide) will count so long as it applies to at least part of the City of Paris. Unofficial guidance, voluntary advisories, curfews applying only to minors or other specific groups, and conditional or prospective statements that a curfew may be imposed will not be considered curfews for the purposes of this market. Orders restricting demonstrations or gatherings, closures of specific parks, facilities or venues, restrictions on business hours or sales, and transit suspensions will not be considered curfews unless they also impose a curfew as defined above. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government announcements; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/paris-curfew-effectively-lifted-by
| AJSV |
| No |
| 126.16 |
| Emerald Scout EF69 | No | 114 |
| cmnd7w | No | 102.01 |
| Finished-Subconscious | No | 82.85 |
| Guimarx | Yes | 45.78 |
| GuyFromTinder | No | 45.77 |
| SulkingCrypto | No | 43 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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