Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 14.03 | $0.591 | $10.59 | +$2.3 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Marco Rubio be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?No | sell | 0.12 | $0.680 | $0.08 | 4h ago |
|
| No |
| 8.31 |
| $0.844 |
| $7.69 |
| +$0.67 |
 Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | No | 6.72 | $0.950 | $6.35 | -$0.03 |
 Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? | No | 4.84 | $0.955 | $4.69 | +$0.07 |
 Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? | No | 4.23 | $0.926 | $3.96 | +$0.04 |
 Will FREPASNA win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? | No | 4.38 | $0.984 | $3.61 | -$0.7 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 3.61 | $0.872 | $3.55 | +$0.4 |
 Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 3.96 | $0.904 | $3.5 | -$0.08 |
 Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026? | No | 3.24 | $0.920 | $3.04 | +$0.06 |
 Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 3.15 | $0.925 | $2.98 | +$0.06 |
 Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.81 | $0.926 | $2.69 | +$0.08 |
 Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31? | No | 2.6 | $0.959 | $2.47 | -$0.02 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | No | 2.64 | $0.874 | $2.31 | +$0 |
 KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? | No | 2.27 | $0.945 | $2.14 | -$0.01 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | No | 2.43 | $0.875 | $2.06 | -$0.07 |
 OPEC dissolves in 2026? | No | 2.02 | $0.940 | $1.95 | +$0.06 |
 Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | No | 2.06 | $0.945 | $1.94 | $0 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | Yes | 1.95 | $0.938 | $1.91 | +$0.07 |
 Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? | No | 1.83 | $0.940 | $1.77 | +$0.05 |
 Will Tunisia recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 1.89 | $0.945 | $1.76 | -$0.02 |
 Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? | No | 1.44 | $0.922 | $1.31 | -$0.02 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 1.35 | $0.920 | $1.26 | +$0.02 |
| Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? | No | 1.39 | $0.977 | $1.18 | -$0.17 |
 Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? | Yes | 1.59 | $0.670 | $1.17 | +$0.1 |
 Will United Russia win the next Ingushetia Parliament elections? | Yes | 1.17 | $0.981 | $1.15 | +$0 |
| sell |
| 0.21 |
| $0.680 |
| $0.14 |
| 4h ago |
| Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No | sell | 0.03 | $0.930 | $0.03 | 11h ago |
| Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.930 | $0.01 | 11h ago |
| Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.930 | $0.01 | 11h ago |
| Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No | sell | 0.04 | $0.920 | $0.04 | 11h ago |
| Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No | sell | 0.02 | $0.920 | $0.02 | 11h ago |
| Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No | sell | 0.05 | $0.920 | $0.05 | 11h ago |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | sell | 0.14 | $0.850 | $0.12 | 1d ago |
 Will New People (NL) win fewer than 35 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.910 | $1.09 | 2d ago |
 UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?No | sell | 1.13 | $0.957 | $1.08 | 2d ago |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Yes | sell | 0.02 | $0.920 | $0.02 | 2d ago |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.870 | $0.01 | 2d ago |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | sell | 0.33 | $0.860 | $0.28 | 2d ago |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.870 | $1.03 | 2d ago |
 Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?No | sell | 1.24 | $0.870 | $1.08 | 3d ago |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | buy | 1.24 | $0.880 | $1.09 | 3d ago |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | sell | 0.38 | $0.860 | $0.33 | 3d ago |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Yes | sell | 0.33 | $0.920 | $0.3 | 3d ago |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | sell | 0.15 | $0.860 | $0.13 | 3d ago |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | sell | 0.15 | $0.860 | $0.13 | 3d ago |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | sell | 0.04 | $0.860 | $0.03 | 3d ago |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | sell | 0.05 | $0.860 | $0.04 | 4d ago |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | sell | 0.07 | $0.850 | $0.06 | 4d ago |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | sell | 0.07 | $0.850 | $0.06 | 4d ago |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.17 | $0.930 | $1.09 | 4d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes | sell | 0.02 | $0.976 | $0.02 | 4d ago |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | sell | 0.05 | $0.830 | $0.04 | 4d ago |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | sell | 0.09 | $0.820 | $0.07 | 4d ago |
| Will Marco Rubio be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.680 | $0.01 | 4d ago |
| Will Marco Rubio be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.680 | $0.01 | 5d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes | sell | 0.21 | $0.979 | $0.21 | 5d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes | sell | 0.02 | $0.979 | $0.02 | 5d ago |
| Will Marco Rubio be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.680 | $0.01 | 5d ago |
| Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?No | sell | 0.18 | $0.850 | $0.15 | 5d ago |
| Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?No | buy | 1.24 | $0.880 | $1.09 | 6d ago |
| Will Marco Rubio be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.680 | $0.01 | 6d ago |
 Will María Corina Machado be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?No | sell | 0.69 | $0.956 | $0.66 | 6d ago |
| Will María Corina Machado be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?No | sell | 0.42 | $0.956 | $0.4 | 6d ago |
 Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?Yes | sell | 0.03 | $0.953 | $0.03 | 6d ago |
| Will Marco Rubio be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.680 | $0.01 | 6d ago |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No | sell | 0.12 | $0.860 | $0.1 | 7d ago |
 Will Yegor Kovalchuk win the 2026 Bryansk Oblast gubernatorial elections?Yes | sell | 0.19 | $0.959 | $0.18 | 7d ago |
| Will Marco Rubio be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?No | sell | 0.07 | $0.680 | $0.05 | 8d ago |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No | sell | 0.02 | $0.860 | $0.02 | 9d ago |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No | sell | 0.02 | $0.860 | $0.02 | 9d ago |
| Will Marco Rubio be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.680 | $0.01 | 10d ago |
| Will Marco Rubio be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.680 | $0.01 | 10d ago |
| Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?Yes | sell | 0.02 | $0.923 | $0.02 | 10d ago |
 Will Kamala Harris win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary?No | sell | 0.15 | $0.860 | $0.13 | 11d ago |