Analytics
Yes is at 26%, up 4.5 points from 21.5% when the market opened on 31 Jul 2026.
Across the 89 daily closes on record from 31 Jul 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 32% on 23 Aug 2026 and the lowest 8.5% on 20 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 27.5%; a month before, 27.5%. Its largest one-day move was 16 points up, to 27.5% on 24 Sep 2026.
It is one of 20 markets under “South Carolina Presidential Democratic Primary Winner”.
$40 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $9.68K since listing. The order book holds $12.89K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 211 trades, $512.84 bought Yes and $1.65K bought No.
The largest Yes position is 0x49F206 with 806 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 397. Ten wallets hold 90.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 23 Jan 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 4:17 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 89 points, 31 Jul 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 21.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 26.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0x49F206 | Yes | 805.7 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 397.22 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 250 |
South Carolina is expected to hold its Democratic presidential primary for the 2028 presidential election on January 22, 2028. This market will resolve to the candidate who wins the most votes in the South Carolina Democratic primary, caucus, or other official process by which the public directs the selection of delegates for the 2028 Democratic Convention. If the relevant delegate selection process is a caucus or other multi-round process, the relevant vote count will be the final round vote count. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If no 2028 South Carolina primary, caucus, or comparable process takes place, or if the results are not definitively known by August 1, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the complete results from the South Carolina Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/south-carolina-presidential-democratic-primary-winner-20260728190840244
8 more markets, none above 0.5%.
| Poyo | No | 236.94 |
| Golden Signal D11F | No | 116.95 |
| Haradwaith | No | 106.08 |
| baller11 | No | 83.33 |
| tylerpredict | No | 82.51 |
| LegendaryRed24 | No | 73.73 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 57.19 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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