Latest trade
Jun 4, 2024 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 3:15 AM UTC.
Analytics
Captain Cilly is down $121.22 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 10 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2024-08-07 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jun 4, 2024 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 3:15 AM UTC.
$83.81 median trade
Its latest 48 trades covered 12 markets; 64.6% were buys. They run from Jun 22, 2023 UTC to Jun 4, 2024 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Israel invade Lebanon before September?Yes | buy | 510.74 | $0.532 | $271.93 | Jun 4, 2024 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2024-08-07 13:44 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 03:15 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
48 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 03:15 UTC
polymarket positions
11 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2024-08-07 13:44 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $584.16 and losing ones cost $88.45 across 10 settled positions. 60% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $321.14 on “Will the missing submarine be found by June 23?” (Yes); the largest loss, $57.5 on “Will Shoigu still be Russian Minister of Defense on July 1?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 4 Jun 2024. It has traded 12 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 714.29 |
| $0.070 |
| $50 |
| Apr 4, 2024 UTC |
 Will Hezbollah officially join the war by Nov 30?Yes | buy | 837.5 | $0.119 | $100 | Nov 3, 2023 UTC |
| Will Hezbollah officially join the war by Nov 30?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.190 | $95 | Nov 1, 2023 UTC |
| Will Hezbollah officially join the war by Nov 30?Yes | buy | 526.32 | $0.190 | $100 | Nov 1, 2023 UTC |
 Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Oct 31?No | sell | 597.53 | $0.999 | $596.93 | Nov 1, 2023 UTC |
| Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Oct 31?No | buy | 597.53 | $0.960 | $573.63 | Oct 28, 2023 UTC |
| Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Oct 31?No | sell | 610.24 | $0.940 | $573.63 | Oct 20, 2023 UTC |
| Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Oct 31?No | buy | 585.24 | $0.840 | $491.6 | Oct 9, 2023 UTC |
| Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Oct 31?No | buy | 25 | $0.840 | $21 | Oct 9, 2023 UTC |
| Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Oct 31?No | sell | 610 | $0.830 | $506.3 | Oct 9, 2023 UTC |
| Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Oct 31?No | buy | 405 | $0.810 | $328.05 | Oct 7, 2023 UTC |
| Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Oct 31?No | buy | 205 | $0.700 | $143.5 | Oct 7, 2023 UTC |
 Will "Trump" be said by every candidate in the 2nd RNC primary debate?No | buy | 412.65 | $0.780 | $321.87 | Sep 27, 2023 UTC |
| Will "Trump" be said by every candidate in the 2nd RNC primary debate?No | buy | 0.14 | $0.640 | $0.09 | Sep 27, 2023 UTC |
| Will "Trump" be said by every candidate in the 2nd RNC primary debate?No | buy | 0.06 | $0.640 | $0.04 | Sep 27, 2023 UTC |
| Will "Trump" be said by every candidate in the 2nd RNC primary debate?No | buy | 40 | $0.640 | $25.6 | Sep 27, 2023 UTC |
| Will "Trump" be said by every candidate in the 2nd RNC primary debate?No | buy | 25 | $0.800 | $20 | Sep 26, 2023 UTC |
 [Single Market] Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 1K | $0.290 | $290.35 | Aug 14, 2023 UTC |
| [Single Market] Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 265.45 | $0.290 | $76.98 | Aug 14, 2023 UTC |
| [Single Market] Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 1 | $0.260 | $0.26 | Jul 20, 2023 UTC |
| [Single Market] Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 1.27K | $0.280 | $354.95 | Jul 11, 2023 UTC |
 Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before Nov 1?No | sell | 200 | $0.870 | $174 | Jul 11, 2023 UTC |
 Will unverified Twitter users be able to see more than 1k posts per day by July 10?No | sell | 785.3 | $0.110 | $86.38 | Jul 11, 2023 UTC |
| Will unverified Twitter users be able to see more than 1k posts per day by July 10?No | sell | 54.2 | $0.140 | $7.59 | Jul 11, 2023 UTC |
| Will unverified Twitter users be able to see more than 1k posts per day by July 10?No | buy | 839.5 | $0.119 | $100 | Jul 10, 2023 UTC |
| Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before Nov 1?No | buy | 200 | $0.790 | $158 | Jul 4, 2023 UTC |
 Will Prigozhin be arrested by July 15?No | sell | 366.93 | $0.940 | $344.91 | Jun 28, 2023 UTC |
| Will Prigozhin be arrested by July 15?No | buy | 213.15 | $0.915 | $195 | Jun 27, 2023 UTC |
| Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before Nov 1?No | sell | 246.91 | $0.790 | $195.06 | Jun 27, 2023 UTC |
| Will Prigozhin be arrested by July 15?No | buy | 153.79 | $0.910 | $139.95 | Jun 27, 2023 UTC |
| Will Prigozhin be arrested by July 15?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.090 | $18 | Jun 27, 2023 UTC |
 Will Shoigu still be Russian Minister of Defense on July 1?No | sell | 14.29 | $0.140 | $2 | Jun 26, 2023 UTC |
| Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before Nov 1?No | buy | 246.91 | $0.810 | $200 | Jun 26, 2023 UTC |
| Will Shoigu still be Russian Minister of Defense on July 1?No | buy | 14.04 | $0.110 | $1.54 | Jun 26, 2023 UTC |
| Will Shoigu still be Russian Minister of Defense on July 1?No | buy | 150 | $0.110 | $16.5 | Jun 26, 2023 UTC |
| Will Shoigu still be Russian Minister of Defense on July 1?No | buy | 35.96 | $0.110 | $3.96 | Jun 25, 2023 UTC |
| Will Shoigu still be Russian Minister of Defense on July 1?No | buy | 250 | $0.150 | $37.5 | Jun 25, 2023 UTC |
| Will Prigozhin be arrested by July 15?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.100 | $20 | Jun 25, 2023 UTC |
| Will Prigozhin be arrested by July 15?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Jun 25, 2023 UTC |
| Will Prigozhin be arrested by July 15?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.080 | $8 | Jun 25, 2023 UTC |
 Russian Coup: Putin vs WagnerWagner | sell | 207.69 | $0.010 | $2.08 | Jun 25, 2023 UTC |
 Will the missing submarine be found by June 23?Yes | sell | 416.18 | $0.950 | $395.37 | Jun 25, 2023 UTC |
| Russian Coup: Putin vs WagnerWagner | buy | 207.69 | $0.130 | $27 | Jun 24, 2023 UTC |
| Will the missing submarine be found by June 23?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.900 | $27 | Jun 24, 2023 UTC |
| Will the missing submarine be found by June 23?Yes | buy | 246.19 | $0.330 | $81.24 | Jun 22, 2023 UTC |
| Will the missing submarine be found by June 23?Yes | buy | 115.63 | $0.100 | $11.56 | Jun 22, 2023 UTC |
| Will the missing submarine be found by June 23?Yes | buy | 84.37 | $0.100 | $8.44 | Jun 22, 2023 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.