Analytics
Resolved Yes on 2 Jul 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.5%. Yes opened at 45% on 25 Jun 2023. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 25 Jun 2023 to 2 Jul 2023, the highest close was 99.5% on 2 Jul 2023 and the lowest 45% on 25 Jun 2023. Its largest one-day move was 40 points up, to 85% on 26 Jun 2023. $31.45K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 3, 10:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 25 Jun 2023 – 2 Jul 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Jun 2023 | 45.0% |
| 2 Jul 2023 | 99.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Fortunate-Coincidence | No | 200 |
| darkpsico | No | 123.58 |
| Popular-Inversion | No | 100 |
| furi | No | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the current Russian Minister of Defense, Sergei Shoigu, remains the Russian Minister of Defense without interruption from June 24 through July 1, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Russian government, however in case of ambiguity a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-shoigu-still-be-russian-minister-of-defense-on-july-1
| Front-Declination | No | 55.89 |
| Sharp-Nectar | No | 55.05 |
| benrito | No | 26.32 |
| Astonishing-Cameo | No | 25.25 |
| Bleak-Emphasis | No | 16.44 |
| EduardoVL10 | No | 3.2 |
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