
Resolved No on 16 Jul 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99%. Yes opened at 53% on 24 Jun 2023. Before it settled, the high was 53% on 24 Jun 2023 and the low 1% on 13 Jul 2023. Its largest one-day move was 49 points down, to 4.5% on 25 Jun 2023. $89.99K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 16, 5:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 23 points, 24 Jun 2023 – 16 Jul 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Jun 2023 | 53.0% |
| 16 Jul 2023 | 1.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Shryder1337 | Yes | 1.14K |
| Bubbaho | Yes | 1.07K |
| Tricky-Junket | Yes | 624.29 |
| holdthedoor-876 | Yes | 362.27 |
| MakC | Yes | 95.41 |
| Pretty-Stew | Yes | 75.91 |
| Belated-Chalice | Yes | 60 |
| Gotboof | No | 40 |
| Astonishing-Cameo | Yes | 30.93 |
| Tuggan | Yes | 29.9 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if founder of Wagner Group Yevgeny Prigozhin is arrested by July 15, 2023 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, however official information from the governments involved in any action against Prigozhin and information from Prigozhin and Wagner's legal representatives will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-prigozhin-be-arrested-by-july-15
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