Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Dec 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.8%. Yes opened at 17% on 31 Oct 2023. Before it settled, the high was 37.5% on 3 Nov 2023 and the low 1.2% on 1 Dec 2023. Its largest one-day move was 29 points down, to 9% on 4 Nov 2023. $62.5K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 20, 5:42 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 32 points · 31 Oct 2023 – 1 Dec 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Oct 2023 | 17.0% |
| 1 Dec 2023 | 1.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Captain Cilly | Yes | 1.86K |
| Peaky | Yes | 500 |
| ChrisHall | Yes | 375 |
| furi | Yes | 151.51 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hezbollah officially declares war on Israel by November 30, 2023 11:59 PM ET. Declarations of war must be clear and explicit. The market will resolve to "No" if no such official declaration of war is made by the specified date. Note that Israel or Hamas declaring war is not considered for this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-hezbollah-officially-join-the-war-by-nov-30
| KevinWan | Yes | 119.05 |
| StimReaper | Yes | 78.95 |
| Manganga | Yes | 9.33 |
| Whiteobama | Yes | 3.35 |
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