Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Nov 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 18% on 8 Oct 2023. Before it settled, the high was 18% on 8 Oct 2023 and the low 0.3% on 1 Nov 2023. $137.36K traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 26, 3:05 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 25 points · 8 Oct 2023 – 1 Nov 2023 · axis zoomed to 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Oct 2023 | 18.0% |
| 1 Nov 2023 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| displaynameguy | Yes | 1.11K |
| pickler | Yes | 422.22 |
| Max1991 | Yes | 169.23 |
| i guess | Yes | 142.86 |
| uniqueoats | Yes | 73.44 |
| dmt | Yes | 33.33 |
| ttrofel | Yes | 25 |
| treetuna | Yes | 20 |
| extrabeef | Yes | 17.65 |
| joniponi-695 | Yes | 17.24 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Israel and Hamas on or before Oct 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution will be based on official government announcements from both Israel and Hamas, or reports from credible media sources. An official ceasefire agreement requires public recognition by both parties. Any form of informal, unratified, or verbal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. The ceasefire must last 48h and to have begun before the resolution date (if the ceasefire begins on Oct 30, for example, this market would resolve to "Yes" if the ceasefire continues for 48h).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/israel-and-hamas-ceasefire-by-oct-31
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