Analytics
Resolved Putin on 26 Jun 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had Putin at 98.5%. The Putin side opened at 98.5% on 25 Jun 2023. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 25 Jun 2023 to 26 Jun 2023, the price held at 98.5%. $378.39K traded over the market's life.
37 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 26, 3:03 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Putin price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 25 Jun 2023 – 26 Jun 2023, chart shows 90%–100%
| Observed | Putin price |
|---|---|
| 25 Jun 2023 | 98.5% |
| 26 Jun 2023 | 98.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Euwyn | Wagner | 4.12K |
| Remote-Plume | Wagner | 2.04K |
| GTNFTTT | Wagner | 1.71K |
| Unfolded-Picturesque | Wagner | 1.5K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on whether Wagner’s coup (Yevgeny Viktorovich Prigozhin) against Russia will be successful. This market will resolve to “Putin” if at any time Yevgeny Prigozhin is taken into custody (i.e. arrested, captured, etc.) or otherwise discontinues the coup. It will resolve to “Wagner” if at any time Putin is no longer the Russian President. The resolution date for this market will be August 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, at which point if Putin is still President and has more power over Russia, this market will resolve to “Putin”. If one of the aforementioned conditions is met prior to the resolution date, this market will resolve instantly. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. The CIA World Factbook page for Russia, currently available at https://www.cia.gov/the-world-factbook/countries/russia/#government, will also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.cia.gov/the-world-factbook/countries/russia/#government
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/russian-coup-putin-vs-wagner
| Pretty-Stew | Wagner | 1.48K |
| Understated-Familiarity | Wagner | 1.24K |
| Worthless-Crepe | Wagner | 1K |
| JeremyPetro1 | Wagner | 829.86 |
| Hideous-Alto | Wagner | 761.89 |
| x2-et | Wagner | 665.41 |
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