Analytics
Extra-Large-Begonia is down $404.95K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-05 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 38.73K | $0.661 | $30.01K | +$4.41K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-05 12:25 UTC
Polymarket public position response
36 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 12:54 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 12:54 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-05 12:25 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $262.55K and losing ones cost $406.43K across the latest 50 settled positions. 84% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $39.98K on “US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?” (No); the largest loss, $210.56K on “Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?” (No).
It has traded 689 markets. Its open positions are worth $127.36K across 36 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 23.81K |
| $0.849 |
| $22.68K |
| +$2.46K |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 21.7K | $0.839 | $20.29K | +$2.09K |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 16.08K | $0.746 | $15.57K | +$3.57K |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 11.29K | $0.808 | $9.09K | -$30.48 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | No | 5.89K | $0.807 | $5.62K | +$870.32 |
 Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 4.87K | $0.811 | $4.86K | +$915.32 |
 Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 2.67K | $0.916 | $2.6K | +$148.26 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 2.58K | $0.827 | $2.47K | +$332.87 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes | 2.55K | $0.669 | $2K | +$295.85 |
 US strike on Mexico by December 31? | No | 1.65K | $0.722 | $1.6K | +$402.63 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 1.94K | $0.531 | $1.56K | +$531.25 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | No | 2.03K | $0.650 | $1.51K | +$193.1 |
 Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 1.29K | $0.963 | $1.29K | +$47.31 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | 1.28K | $0.850 | $1.25K | +$160.51 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 1.19K | $0.840 | $1.15K | +$152.73 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | No | 911.4 | $0.872 | $899.09 | +$104.2 |
 US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? | No | 714.53 | $0.672 | $682.38 | +$202.1 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 558.53 | $0.863 | $542.61 | +$60.54 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 500 | $0.893 | $489.25 | +$42.65 |
 Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026? | Yes | 310.26 | $0.920 | $277.68 | -$7.76 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31? | No | 230 | $0.810 | $180.55 | -$5.75 |
 US recession by end of 2026? | No | 179.68 | $0.803 | $166.2 | +$21.87 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026? | No | 150 | $0.830 | $131.25 | +$6.75 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 599.93 | $0.659 | $119.99 | -$275.7 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
