Latest trade
Jul 21, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 20, 2:17 PM UTC.
Analytics
Skyarrival has made $39.6 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 30 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-20 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jul 21, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 20, 2:17 PM UTC.
$2 median trade
Its latest 92 trades covered 67 markets; 100.0% were buys. They run from Jan 5, 2026 UTC to Jul 21, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | Yes | 52.37 | $0.038 | $1.18 | -$0.82 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Tate released from custody by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.027 | $1 | Jul 21, 2026 UTC |
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-20 12:09 UTC
Polymarket public position response
9 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-20 14:17 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
92 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-20 14:17 UTC
polymarket positions
31 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-07-20 00:19 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $187.04 and losing ones cost $10 across 30 settled positions. 83.3% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $51.97 on “Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?” (Yes); the largest loss, $3 on “Maduro mugshot released by Monday?” (Yes).
It first traded on 5 Jan 2026 and most recently on 21 Jul 2026, 90 days ago. It has traded 67 markets. Its open positions are worth $5.44 across 9 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 11.56 |
| $0.173 |
| $1.05 |
| -$0.95 |
 US strike on Mexico by December 31? | Yes | 17.5 | $0.400 | $0.72 | -$6.28 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Yes | 12 | $0.250 | $0.66 | -$2.34 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 12.5 | $0.160 | $0.53 | -$1.48 |
 Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 16.67 | $0.120 | $0.46 | -$1.54 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | Yes | 6.06 | $0.330 | $0.33 | -$1.67 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | Yes | 12.5 | $0.080 | $0.33 | -$0.67 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 4.26 | $0.470 | $0.19 | -$1.81 |
| buy |
| 17.33 |
| $0.404 |
| $7 |
| Jul 21, 2026 UTC |
 Argentina vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Jul 7, 2026 UTC |
| Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to ScoreYes | buy | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10 | Jul 7, 2026 UTC |
| Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceArgentina | buy | 7.35 | $0.680 | $5 | Jul 7, 2026 UTC |
| United States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceBelgium | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | Jul 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will United States win on 2026-07-06?Yes | buy | 13.16 | $0.380 | $5 | Jul 6, 2026 UTC |
 Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.480 | $10 | Jul 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.280 | $2 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?Yes | buy | 11.36 | $0.440 | $5 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
| Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 1.5 AND Germany to score first vs. Paraguay? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? AND Germany leading at halftime? | buy | 20.12 | $0.489 | $9.84 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
| Japan to score first vs. Brazil?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
 Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?Yes | buy | 3.08 | $0.650 | $2 | Apr 7, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes | buy | 5.36 | $0.560 | $3 | Apr 7, 2026 UTC |
 Will Italy win on 2026-03-31?Yes | buy | 940.06 | $0.001 | $0.94 | Mar 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 11.56 | $0.173 | $2 | Mar 28, 2026 UTC |
 Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.054 | $1 | Mar 28, 2026 UTC |
 Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa HawkeyesIllinois Fighting Illini | buy | 4.03 | $0.740 | $2.98 | Mar 28, 2026 UTC |
 Will another country strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Mar 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 8.7 | $0.230 | $2 | Mar 26, 2026 UTC |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | buy | 60.61 | $0.330 | $20 | Mar 26, 2026 UTC |
 Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 29, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.75 | $0.800 | $3 | Mar 26, 2026 UTC |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.640 | $20 | Mar 26, 2026 UTC |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Yes | buy | 4.26 | $0.470 | $2 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.250 | $3 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Yes | buy | 10.34 | $0.290 | $3 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
 U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will Morocco win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Jan 18, 2026 UTC |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?Yes | buy | 52.37 | $0.038 | $2 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.160 | $2 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?Yes | buy | 3.28 | $0.610 | $2 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
 U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
 US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.580 | $2 | Jan 11, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.39 | $0.230 | $4 | Jan 11, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | Jan 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 4.26 | $0.470 | $2 | Jan 11, 2026 UTC |
| U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
 Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 UTC |
 Will the US embassy in Venezuela reopen by March 31?Yes | buy | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2 | Jan 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by Friday?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 UTC |
| US strike on Mexico by January 31?Yes | buy | 6.71 | $0.149 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 UTC |
| US strike on Mexico by March 31?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.300 | $2 | Jan 9, 2026 UTC |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31?Yes | buy | 17.5 | $0.400 | $7 | Jan 9, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.