Latest trade
Oct 17, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 22, 5:56 PM UTC.
Analytics
sysiphean has made $202.76 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-17 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 17, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 22, 5:56 PM UTC.
$1.08 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 40 markets; 84.0% were buys. They run from Apr 7, 2026 UTC to Oct 17, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 198.21 | $0.780 | $172.44 | +$17.84 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 83.39 | $0.778 | $64.88 | 4d ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-17 23:19 UTC
Polymarket public position response
8 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-22 17:56 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-22 17:56 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-17 23:19 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $313.09 and losing ones cost $59.89 across the latest 50 settled positions. 66% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $140.84 on “Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?” (Yes); the largest loss, $20 on “Will Israel or the US target Fordow nuclear facility?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 17 Oct 2026. It has traded 77 markets. Its open positions are worth $263.59 across 8 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 83.39 |
| $0.778 |
| $65.26 |
| +$0.38 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 39.6 | $0.795 | $13.05 | -$18.42 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 62.5 | $0.160 | $9.47 | -$0.53 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 6.67 | $0.309 | $1.56 | -$0.5 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes | 2.78 | $0.360 | $0.65 | -$0.35 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 6.99 | $0.143 | $0.6 | -$0.4 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 5.99 | $0.167 | $0.57 | -$0.43 |
| sell |
| 74.08 |
| $0.880 |
| $65.19 |
| 4d ago |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | sell | 11.49 | $0.012 | $0.14 | 11d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 198.21 | $0.780 | $154.6 | 27d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 39.6 | $0.795 | $31.47 | Aug 11, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 74.07 | $0.540 | $40 | Aug 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.160 | $10 | Aug 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?No | sell | 145.81 | $0.561 | $81.8 | Aug 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?No | buy | 145.81 | $0.553 | $80.59 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 156.16 | $0.640 | $100 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | sell | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 UTC |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 5.34 | $0.207 | $1.11 | Aug 2, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 4.34 | $0.490 | $2.13 | Jul 31, 2026 UTC |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 223.86 | $0.788 | $176.42 | Jul 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 223.87 | $0.725 | $162.41 | Jul 24, 2026 UTC |
 France vs. England: Team to WinFrance | buy | 2.5 | $0.640 | $1.6 | Jul 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | buy | 4.42 | $0.226 | $1 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.627 | $1 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 6.85 | $0.146 | $1 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.017 | $1 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
| Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score AND Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score AND Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 AND Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5 | buy | 5 | $0.192 | $0.96 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 162.38 | $0.129 | $21 | Jul 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will United States win on 2026-07-01?Yes | buy | 16.26 | $0.720 | $11.71 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
 Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 2.58 | $0.860 | $2.22 | Jun 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Jun 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Jun 19, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No | buy | 1.4 | $0.953 | $1.33 | Jun 3, 2026 UTC |
 Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.8 | $0.650 | $3.77 | May 17, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.680 | $4 | May 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 5.99 | $0.167 | $1 | May 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 5.35 | $0.187 | $1 | May 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 6.99 | $0.143 | $1 | May 12, 2026 UTC |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | May 12, 2026 UTC |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | May 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?No | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | May 12, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | May 12, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | May 12, 2026 UTC |
 Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?Yes | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | May 12, 2026 UTC |
 Timberwolves vs. SpursSpurs | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | May 12, 2026 UTC |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | May 12, 2026 UTC |
| Starmer out by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | May 12, 2026 UTC |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 11.49 | $0.087 | $1 | May 12, 2026 UTC |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.840 | $2.21 | May 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | buy | 2.24 | $0.473 | $1.06 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 43.32 | $0.820 | $35.52 | Apr 16, 2026 UTC |
 US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?No | sell | 33.53 | $0.957 | $32.08 | Apr 16, 2026 UTC |
| US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?No | buy | 33.54 | $0.938 | $31.46 | Apr 7, 2026 UTC |
 Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 11.95 | $0.837 | $10 | Apr 7, 2026 UTC |
 Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.