Analytics
Resolved Yes on 16 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 3.9%. Yes opened at 26% on 8 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 8 May 2026 to 16 May 2026, the highest close was 71.5% on 12 May 2026 and the lowest 3.9% on 16 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 41 points up, to 71.5% on 12 May 2026. $1.3M traded over the market's life.
497 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 17, 3:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 8 May 2026 – 16 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 May 2026 | 26.0% |
| 16 May 2026 | 3.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Hantavirus in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any laboratory-confirmed hantavirus infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/confirmed-case-of-hantavirus-in-us-by-may-15
| Zigzag-Rip | No | 4.39K |
| mumps | No | 3.91K |
| rafaelnadal2008 | No | 3.35K |
| bygones | No | 2.2K |
| RolandChang | No | 1.94K |
| Canaryquid | No | 1.6K |
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