Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in September? | No | 624.35 | $0.930 | $590.94 | +$10.25 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100.82 | $0.460 | $46.38 | 15h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 715 |
| $0.560 |
| $529.1 |
| +$128.7 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 647.33 | $0.858 | $525.96 | -$29.28 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 176.77 | $0.798 | $142.21 | +$1.15 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 499.99 | $0.201 | $97.75 | -$2.75 |
 Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | Yes | 399.99 | $0.100 | $31.4 | -$8.6 |
 Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 999.99 | $0.017 | $15.5 | -$2 |
 Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 1K | $0.007 | $8.5 | +$1.5 |
 Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 1K | $0.004 | $1.5 | -$2.5 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 0.45 | $0.499 | $0.22 | +$0 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 0.39 | $0.197 | $0.06 | -$0.02 |
| buy |
| 40 |
| $0.980 |
| $39.2 |
| 5d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.980 | $39.2 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 4, 2026?No | sell | 80 | $0.841 | $67.26 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?No | sell | 20 | $0.020 | $0.4 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?No | sell | 200 | $0.030 | $6 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?No | sell | 350.48 | $0.046 | $15.95 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.250 | $12.5 | 6d ago |
 Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 249 | $0.400 | $99.6 | 6d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 35 | $0.580 | $20.3 | 6d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 794.89 | $0.690 | $548.47 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 4, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.929 | $464.5 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 3, 2026?No | buy | 111.22 | $0.950 | $105.66 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 3, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.950 | $950 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 3, 2026?Yes | sell | 204 | $0.119 | $24.28 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 3, 2026?Yes | sell | 499.97 | $0.021 | $10.5 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 3, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.17K | $0.021 | $24.64 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.81K | $0.050 | $240.56 | 6d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 370.01 | $0.975 | $360.76 | 6d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?No | sell | 149.99 | $0.025 | $3.77 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.970 | $29.1 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.85K | $0.980 | $1.81K | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.43K | $0.993 | $1.42K | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 852.18 | $0.988 | $841.87 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 349.14 | $0.995 | $347.39 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 874.39 | $0.995 | $869.75 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?No | buy | 128.11 | $0.796 | $101.99 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?No | buy | 99.99 | $0.170 | $17 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between August 31 and September 6, 2026?No | buy | 286.21 | $0.060 | $17.17 | 6d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.130 | $13 | 6d ago |
 Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 14?Yes | buy | 217.24 | $0.890 | $193.34 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?No | buy | 106 | $0.256 | $27.1 | 7d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between August 31 and September 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 155.42 | $0.910 | $141.43 | 7d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between August 31 and September 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 126 | $0.900 | $113.4 | 7d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.830 | $8.3 | 7d ago |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 21.46 | $0.974 | $20.9 | 7d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?No | buy | 599.36 | $0.809 | $485.08 | 8d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?No | buy | 117.9 | $0.322 | $37.94 | 8d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?No | buy | 152.08 | $0.300 | $45.62 | 8d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?Yes | buy | 3.33K | $0.938 | $3.12K | 8d ago |
 Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 91 | $0.975 | $88.73 | 8d ago |
| Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 99.36 | $0.972 | $96.58 | 8d ago |
 Will Jack Grealish join Aston Villa?No | buy | 1.37K | $0.998 | $1.37K | 8d ago |
| Will Jack Grealish join Everton?Yes | buy | 510 | $0.990 | $504.9 | 8d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?No | sell | 146 | $0.490 | $71.54 | 9d ago |
| Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 1.44K | $0.971 | $1.4K | 9d ago |
| Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 475.12 | $0.972 | $461.61 | 9d ago |
| Will Claude go down 8-10 times in August?Yes | sell | 486.36 | $0.164 | $79.59 | 9d ago |
| Will Claude go down 8-10 times in August?Yes | sell | 71.2 | $0.200 | $14.24 | 9d ago |
| Will Claude go down 5-7 times in August?No | sell | 453.5 | $0.252 | $114.22 | 9d ago |