Analytics
Yes is at 2.9%, down 85 points from 87.5% when the market opened on 3 Jan 2026.
Across the 274 daily closes on record from 3 Jan 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (26 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 87.5% on 3 Jan 2026 and the lowest 2.8% on 7 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 2.8%; a month before, 3.5%. Its largest one-day move was 35 points down, to 52.5% on 4 Jan 2026.
It is one of 28 markets under “Who will Trump pardon before 2027?”.
$31.64K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $11.72K, with a 1.8% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 208 trades, $1.17K bought Yes and $10.48K bought No; the largest was a $4.92K buy of No at 84.4¢.
The largest Yes position is AnnabelleNoir with 5.3K shares; the largest No position is XueqinJiang with 8.8K. Ten wallets hold 92.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 5:12 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 274 points, 3 Jan 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Jan 2026 | 87.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 2.9% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| XueqinJiang | No | 8.8K |
| AnnabelleNoir | Yes | 5.32K |
| Rex416 | Yes | 958.75 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-pardon-before-2027
15 more markets, none above 4.8%.
| Distinct-Freighter |
| Yes |
| 723 |
| Jade Beacon E3EA | Yes | 443.77 |
| lowsypeon | Yes | 320.68 |
| Rio777 | Yes | 317.65 |
| asdasdasdasdasdasdasd | No | 302 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 268.48 |
| 42021 | Yes | 243 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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