What do the Yes and No prices mean?

Right now Yes trades at 13.0¢ and No at 87.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 13.0% for Yes and 87.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

When does this market close?

Trading is scheduled to close on Jan 1, 2027 UTC. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.

How does this market resolve?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tesla publicly opens either preorders or full customer orders for any van-like autonomous electric vehicle on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any such vehicle, regardless of product name, will qualify as long as either preorders or full customer orders are publicly open in at least one region. Free signup or waitlist systems that do not constitute a public preorder or full customer order will not qualify. The qualifying vehicle must represent a distinct product line; larger or modified variants of…

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

24h volume ($32.19K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours; liquidity ($162.62) is the dollar value resting in the order book. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who holds the biggest positions in this market?

Vultax loaded 59 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 75.4% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Sep 28, 8:52 AM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/will-tesla-open-orders-for-the-robovan-before-2027) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027? Odds

Market referencewill-tesla-open-orders-for-the-robovan-before-2027Updated 1m ago

techActive

Closes Jan 1, 2027 UTCtechelon-musk

Yes

13.0%

87.0%

Buy Yes 13¢Buy No 87¢

24h Volume

$32.2K

Liquidity

$163

Closes

Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Yes price

13¢

Market actionRead-only Polymarket handoff.

Yes

13.0%

87.0%

24h volume

$32.19K

Vultax does not execute orders. These controls open the official Polymarket market or route back into the Vultax predictions terminal.

Trade

buy Yes· 13¢

Open in terminal$32.19K 24h vol

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

2m ago

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Spread

6.0%

Observed

1m ago

Current public quote is shown when Vultax depth snapshots are unavailable.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Active

Order book

Captured book available

Observed Yes

13.0%

Orderbook depth should be read with the displayed bid/ask, liquidity, and observation time.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

75%

Yes / No shares

951.65 / 950.8

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

272

Wallets

126

Loaded notional

Open market positionsProvider-reported rows from the displayed market-position observation.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
LatinaConqueror	No	363.74	87.2%	$363.74	May 30, 12:12 AM UTC
Lk7600	No	309.04	80.7%	$309.04

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: Right now Yes trades at 13.0¢ and No at 87.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 13.0% for Yes and 87.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
When does this market close?: Trading is scheduled to close on Jan 1, 2027 UTC. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
How does this market resolve?: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tesla publicly opens either preorders or full customer orders for any van-like autonomous electric vehicle on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any such vehicle, regardless of product name, will qualify as long as either preorders or full customer orders are publicly open in at least one region. Free signup or waitlist systems that do not constitute a public preorder or full customer order will not qualify. The qualifying vehicle must represent a distinct product line; larger or modified variants of…
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: 24h volume ($32.19K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours; liquidity ($162.62) is the dollar value resting in the order book. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Analytics

Trader

Outcome

Avg entry

Cost basis

Last trade

LatinaConqueror

363.74

87.2%

$363.74

May 30, 12:12 AM UTC

Lk7600

309.04

80.7%

$309.04

Trader	Current holding value
LatinaConqueror	$316.45
Lk7600	$268.86
jadebasilisk	$68.83
yieldjester	$39.91
RichRyan	$37.05
kstc19	$28.92
ProofOfWork	$13.05
readinghospital	$13
HankS	$11.82
Delayed-Seashore	$10.82
blackbelt	$10.24
VinsencoFlo	$9.46