Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? | No | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1.24 | +$0.24 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes | buy | 4.74 | $0.211 | $1 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 1.15 |
| $0.870 |
| $1.13 |
| +$0.13 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | No | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1.12 | +$0.12 |
 Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027? | No | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1.1 | +$0.1 |
 China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1.1 | +$0.1 |
| Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes | 8.04 | $0.249 | $0.53 | -$1.47 |
 Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027? | Yes | 7.14 | $0.140 | $0.4 | -$0.6 |
| Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027? | Yes | 8.33 | $0.120 | $0.33 | -$0.67 |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | No | 3.57 | $0.280 | $0.01 | -$0.99 |
| buy |
| 8.33 |
| $0.120 |
| $1 |
| Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will Apple release Homepod Mini Successor by June 30?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes | buy | 3.3 | $0.303 | $1 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Tim Cook out as Apple CEO by March 31?No | sell | 1.07 | $0.900 | $0.96 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?No | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Tim Cook out as Apple CEO by March 31?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026Yes | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Jan 30, 2026 |