Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 34.48 | $0.870 | $28.24 | -$1.76 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?Yes | sell | 29.24 | $0.990 | $28.95 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 |
| Yes |
| 499.95 |
| $0.070 |
| $18 |
| -$17 |
 Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027? | Yes | 106.52 | $0.170 | $13.42 | -$4.68 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 11.29 | $0.620 | $10.44 | +$3.44 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 200 | $0.120 | $6.3 | -$17.7 |
 Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? | Yes | 43.48 | $0.230 | $5 | -$5 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 33.33 | $0.360 | $4.62 | -$7.38 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 16.67 | $0.300 | $4.01 | -$0.99 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 10.87 | $0.460 | $3.97 | -$1.03 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 62.5 | $0.160 | $3.44 | -$6.56 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | No | 3.61 | $0.830 | $3.34 | +$0.34 |
 Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 2.53 | $0.790 | $2.53 | +$0.53 |
 Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | No | 2.41 | $0.830 | $2.27 | +$0.27 |
 Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 60 | $0.050 | $1.74 | -$1.26 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1.12 | +$0.12 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | Yes | 23.53 | $0.340 | $0.95 | -$7.05 |
 Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027? | Yes | 10 | $0.300 | $0.95 | -$2.05 |
 Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? | Yes | 3.43 | $0.875 | $0.23 | -$2.77 |
| buy |
| 7.35 |
| $0.952 |
| $7 |
| Dec 7, 2025 |
| MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.740 | $18.5 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.530 | $7.95 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 31?No | buy | 163.87 | $0.031 | $5 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | buy | 2.06 | $0.971 | $2 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on December 6?No | buy | 36.25 | $0.276 | $10 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on December 6?No | buy | 38.46 | $0.260 | $10 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 181.82 | $0.330 | $60 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.330 | $15 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | buy | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 3.64 | $0.550 | $2 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No | buy | 4.65 | $0.430 | $2 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| GPT ads by December 31?No | buy | 2.23 | $0.896 | $2 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Yes | buy | 2.15 | $0.930 | $2 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | buy | 20.66 | $0.968 | $20 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 2.53 | $0.790 | $2 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.360 | $12 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will Senegal win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.950 | $10 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will Algeria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.950 | $10 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro again by December 31?Yes | buy | 5.41 | $0.370 | $2 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will Google have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.250 | $3 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?Yes | buy | 6.52 | $0.460 | $3 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?Yes | buy | 4.41 | $0.680 | $3 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.300 | $3 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.200 | $3 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will a hurricane form by May 31?Yes | buy | 21.44 | $0.140 | $3 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Named storm forms before hurricane season?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.450 | $5 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Yes | buy | 673.33 | $0.015 | $10 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk change his X profile picture by December 31?No | buy | 8.11 | $0.370 | $3 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.780 | $2 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.230 | $10 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboNo | buy | 2.41 | $0.830 | $2 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will Hezbollah disarm in 2025?Yes | buy | 105.26 | $0.019 | $2 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?No | buy | 3.23 | $0.928 | $3 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.050 | $3 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will Pete Hegseth be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?Yes | buy | 59.65 | $0.084 | $5 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.250 | $4 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No | buy | 3.61 | $0.830 | $3 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 3.43 | $0.875 | $3 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.290 | $5 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 10.87 | $0.460 | $5 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | buy | 11.29 | $0.620 | $7 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?No | buy | 10.29 | $0.972 | $10 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 15.43 | $0.972 | $15 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes | buy | 23.53 | $0.340 | $8 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 34.48 | $0.870 | $30 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.850 | $10 | Dec 5, 2025 |