Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | No | 17.24 | $0.580 | $2.33 | -$7.67 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alibaba have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 283.89 | $0.004 | $1 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 9.09 |
| $0.110 |
| $2.05 |
| +$1.05 |
 Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027? | Yes | 18.17 | $0.220 | $1.73 | -$2.27 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | No | 22.73 | $0.220 | $1.02 | -$3.98 |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027? | No | 3.23 | $0.310 | $0.4 | -$0.6 |
 Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027? | Yes | 10.75 | $0.093 | $0.29 | -$0.71 |
 Will Perplexity AI announce bankruptcy before 2027? | Yes | 3.71 | $0.270 | $0.08 | -$0.92 |
| buy |
| 124.69 |
| $0.008 |
| $1 |
| Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 65.07 | $0.031 | $2 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027?Yes | buy | 10.75 | $0.093 | $1 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 17.11 | $0.058 | $1 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 15.71 | $0.064 | $1 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 84.29 | $0.059 | $5 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?No | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?No | buy | 17.24 | $0.580 | $10 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.66 | $0.670 | $1.78 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?No | sell | 5.88 | $0.820 | $4.82 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?No | sell | 1.63 | $0.820 | $1.34 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?No | sell | 1.72 | $0.860 | $1.48 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.055 | $1 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | sell | 18.18 | $0.017 | $0.31 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | sell | 13.75 | $0.005 | $0.07 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?Yes | sell | 2.85 | $0.006 | $0.02 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes | sell | 1.96 | $0.007 | $0.01 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.800 | $11.42 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 18.55 | $0.054 | $1 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 3.57 | $0.120 | $0.43 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?Yes | sell | 13.63 | $0.270 | $3.68 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.230 | $5 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 12.78 | $0.704 | $9 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?No | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?No | buy | 7.16 | $0.140 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?Yes | sell | 1.72 | $0.700 | $1.2 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 23.93 | $0.042 | $1 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 11.06 | $0.452 | $5 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 89.65 | $0.033 | $3 | Feb 7, 2026 |
 Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.210 | $3 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 24 | $0.140 | $3.36 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?Yes | buy | 13.64 | $0.220 | $3 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?No | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?No | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| GPT-5.3 released by February 14, 2026?No | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?No | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?Yes | sell | 1.66 | $0.800 | $1.33 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will Waymo launch in London by June 30 2026?No | sell | 1.56 | $0.850 | $1.33 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?No | sell | 3.78 | $0.972 | $3.67 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?No | buy | 3.79 | $0.528 | $2 | Jan 30, 2026 |