Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | Yes | 7.35 | $0.170 | $3.64 | +$2.39 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?Yes | buy | 5.72 | $0.290 | $1.66 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 4.46 |
| $0.280 |
| $1.94 |
| +$0.69 |
| Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027? | Yes | 14.02 | $0.237 | $1.33 | -$1.99 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027? | Yes | 10.49 | $0.195 | $1.3 | -$0.74 |
 SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? | Yes | 2.84 | $0.440 | $1.04 | -$0.21 |
 Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 17.86 | $0.070 | $1.03 | -$0.22 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 15.69 | $0.130 | $1.02 | -$1.02 |
 China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 15.69 | $0.130 | $1.02 | -$1.02 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 12 | $0.170 | $0.92 | -$1.12 |
 US x China Military clash before 2027? | Yes | 14.86 | $0.070 | $0.62 | -$0.42 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 15.69 | $0.130 | $0.6 | -$1.44 |
 Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 15.69 | $0.130 | $0.59 | -$1.45 |
 Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3.26 | $0.625 | $0.56 | -$1.48 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026? | Yes | 16.08 | $0.127 | $0.52 | -$1.52 |
| Will 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | Yes | 11.51 | $0.109 | $0.06 | -$1.19 |
| Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | Yes | 3.79 | $0.330 | $0.03 | -$1.22 |
| Will 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.250 | $0.01 | -$1.24 |
| buy |
| 12.78 |
| $0.130 |
| $1.66 |
| Feb 14, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.55 | $0.220 | $1.66 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?Yes | buy | 4.61 | $0.360 | $1.66 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.77 | $0.940 | $1.66 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.05 | $0.329 | $1.66 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 27.67 | $0.060 | $1.66 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 21.28 | $0.078 | $1.66 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?Yes | buy | 12.8 | $0.130 | $1.66 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.55 | $0.220 | $1.66 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?Yes | buy | 8.3 | $0.200 | $1.66 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?Yes | buy | 4.61 | $0.360 | $1.66 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.93 | $0.860 | $1.66 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.96 | $0.419 | $1.66 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 22.74 | $0.073 | $1.66 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 22.43 | $0.074 | $1.66 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Will Artemis II launch by March 31?Yes | buy | 2.98 | $0.420 | $1.25 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will Artemis II launch by February 28?Yes | buy | 77.95 | $0.016 | $1.25 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.070 | $1.25 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes | buy | 11.51 | $0.109 | $1.25 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.250 | $1.25 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes | buy | 3.79 | $0.330 | $1.25 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes | buy | 4.46 | $0.280 | $1.25 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes | buy | 7.35 | $0.170 | $1.25 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?Yes | buy | 2.84 | $0.440 | $1.25 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?Yes | buy | 1.71 | $0.730 | $1.25 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?Yes | buy | 1.47 | $0.850 | $1.25 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?Yes | buy | 4.73 | $0.220 | $1.04 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?Yes | buy | 9.45 | $0.110 | $1.04 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will China join the Board of Peace?Yes | buy | 30.59 | $0.034 | $1.04 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| US x China Military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 14.86 | $0.070 | $1.04 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027?Yes | buy | 5.28 | $0.197 | $1.04 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.68 | $0.620 | $1.04 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.260 | $1.04 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.130 | $1.04 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?Yes | buy | 3.25 | $0.320 | $1.04 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?Yes | buy | 3.71 | $0.280 | $1.04 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.33 | $0.060 | $1.04 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by April 30?Yes | buy | 1.25 | $0.830 | $1.04 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 65 | $0.016 | $1.04 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.130 | $1.04 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.260 | $1.04 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 6.12 | $0.170 | $1.04 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.130 | $1.04 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.938 | $1.04 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.130 | $1.04 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30?Yes | buy | 36.35 | $0.029 | $1.04 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31?Yes | buy | 24.19 | $0.043 | $1.04 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?Yes | buy | 17.33 | $0.060 | $1.04 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.130 | $1.04 | Feb 4, 2026 |