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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027? | No | 4.94 | $0.890 | $4.47 | +$0.07 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?Yes | buy | 14.89 | $0.806 | $12 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes| buy |
| 6.99 |
| $0.730 |
| $5.1 |
| May 10, 2026 |
| Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?No | buy | 6 | $0.890 | $5.34 | May 10, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 15?No | buy | 6 | $0.957 | $5.74 | May 10, 2026 |
 Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?No | buy | 5.43 | $0.920 | $5 | May 10, 2026 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | buy | 5.95 | $0.840 | $5 | May 10, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 21.63 | $0.980 | $21.2 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?No | buy | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | sell | 2.8 | $0.810 | $2.27 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on January 14, 2026 (ET)?No | buy | 14 | $0.893 | $12.5 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-13?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.840 | $8.4 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?No | buy | 8.5 | $0.965 | $8.2 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | buy | 2.8 | $0.760 | $2.13 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.780 | $7.8 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 10 | $0.850 | $8.5 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.944 | $9.44 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will Mexico GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 0.0% and 0.5%?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.121 | $0.61 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | sell | 6.38 | $0.965 | $6.16 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will Mexico GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?No | buy | 5 | $0.540 | $2.7 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?No | sell | 7.69 | $0.420 | $3.23 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will Mexico GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?No | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.390 | $3 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | buy | 6.38 | $0.940 | $6 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.700 | $5 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?Yes | buy | 7.02 | $0.897 | $6.3 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 9.73 | $0.987 | $9.6 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Will Mexico GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 0.5% and 1.0%?No | sell | 4.34 | $0.670 | $2.91 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Will Mexico GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 0.5% and 1.0%?No | buy | 4.35 | $0.690 | $3 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will Mexico GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 0.0% and 0.5%?Yes | buy | 3.37 | $0.890 | $3 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the December meeting?Yes | sell | 9.88 | $0.999 | $9.87 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 11.65 | $0.740 | $8.62 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 11.97 | $0.720 | $8.62 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the December meeting?Yes | buy | 9.89 | $0.960 | $9.49 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 11.97 | $0.710 | $8.5 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | sell | 10.01 | $0.957 | $9.58 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 8.42 | $0.999 | $8.41 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 9.73 | $0.940 | $9.15 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 8.42 | $0.950 | $8 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?No | sell | 31.75 | $0.540 | $17.15 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 10.02 | $0.914 | $9.15 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?No | sell | 9.63 | $0.950 | $9.15 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?No | buy | 9.63 | $0.900 | $8.67 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 9.43 | $0.920 | $8.68 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 9.43 | $0.880 | $8.3 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.830 | $8.3 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.780 | $7.8 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: NovemberYes | sell | 7.95 | $0.981 | $7.8 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: NovemberYes | buy | 7.96 | $0.940 | $7.48 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico by November 30?No | sell | 8.25 | $0.907 | $7.49 | Nov 26, 2025 |