Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for Denmark by Feburary 1?Yes | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 3.22 |
| $0.630 |
| $2.03 |
| Jan 18, 2026 |
 Cilia Flores released from custody by January 9, 2026?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?No | buy | 3.92 | $0.255 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Congress authorizes military force against Venezuela by January 31?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Maduro in U.S. custody by January 31?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?Yes | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: JanuaryNo | sell | 3.84 | $0.998 | $3.83 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will Oviedo be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 5kt meteor strike in 2026?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on January 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.05 | $0.165 | $1 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: JanuaryNo | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Natural Disaster in 2026?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Will Anaconda make 70 million or more domestically by January 31?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.925 | $1 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?Yes | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum reach $6,000 in January?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Will António José Seguro win less than 12% of votes in the first round?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Will Pete Carroll be fired by February 28?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Will Xavi Hernandez be the next Chelsea manager?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Heart Attack" in January?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Will Lilo and Stitch be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?Yes | sell | 2.08 | $0.998 | $2.08 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | sell | 2.32 | $0.998 | $2.32 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?Yes | sell | 3.7 | $0.700 | $2.59 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Will Will Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in December?Yes | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in December?No | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 U.S. strikes Afghanistan by Dec 31?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.975 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2025 Hero World Challenge?Yes | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Saudi Arabia" or "Qatar" at the FIFA World Cup Draw on December 5?Yes | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will "Football" be said 20+ times during the World Cup Draw on December 5?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Uloma Ekpete Kama win the GA-14 special election?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will a balloon deflate during the 2025 Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade?Yes | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Bucharest Mayoral Election: Any Candidate Gets >50% of the Vote?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will Solstice launch a token by December 31 2025?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Israel strike on the West Bank by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will Jawan Pitts be voted off of Survivor season 49 on December 3?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will John Sununu be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will "Wicked: For Good" Second Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 93m?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase November 18-24?No | sell | 4 | $0.959 | $3.84 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Nuclear EditionNo | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Trump approval Up or Down this week?Up | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Nov 24, 2025 |