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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 3.75K | $0.770 | $3.2K | +$319.26 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?No | buy | 599 | $0.993 | $594.81 | 9d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 5.26K |
| $0.696 |
| $3.05K |
| -$612.09 |
 Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? | No | 1.94K | $0.725 | $1.62K | +$213.63 |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | Yes | 1.2K | $0.647 | $1.14K | +$364.2 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 1.2K | $0.798 | $1.05K | +$92.23 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2.11K | $0.667 | $940.06 | -$469.81 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 1.17K | $0.705 | $875.37 | +$46.63 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 700 | $0.854 | $661.5 | +$63.5 |
 Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? | No | 700 | $0.862 | $656.6 | +$53.5 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 599.97 | $0.890 | $560.97 | +$27 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026? | No | 600 | $0.812 | $543 | +$56 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 3.67K | $0.591 | $532.18 | -$1.64K |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 456 | $0.342 | $418.15 | +$262.34 |
 Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 400 | $0.865 | $366 | +$20 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | No | 400 | $0.810 | $362 | +$38 |
 Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | No | 500 | $0.634 | $327.5 | +$10.5 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 400 | $0.700 | $290 | +$10 |
 Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 442 | $0.556 | $289.51 | +$43.57 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 300 | $0.901 | $285.3 | +$15 |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? | No | 1.14K | $0.380 | $238.35 | -$193.3 |
 Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | No | 250 | $0.422 | $186.25 | +$80.75 |
 Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | No | 196.92 | $0.870 | $186.09 | +$14.77 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 500 | $0.352 | $175.75 | -$0.25 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 200 | $0.750 | $173 | +$23 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | No | 103.65 | $0.819 | $92.35 | +$7.46 |
| buy |
| 222.25 |
| $0.992 |
| $220.47 |
| 9d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.615 | $492 | 9d ago |
 Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 226 | $0.630 | $142.38 | 10d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.006 | $9 | 11d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.006 | $5.95 | 11d ago |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.510 | $25.5 | 12d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 225 | $0.760 | $171 | 12d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 1.35K | $0.860 | $1.16K | 12d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.820 | $164 | 13d ago |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.799 | $399.68 | 13d ago |
| Iran leadership change by August 31?No | sell | 366.49 | $0.995 | $364.66 | 13d ago |
| Iran leadership change by August 31?No | sell | 70 | $0.995 | $69.65 | 14d ago |
| Iran leadership change by August 31?No | sell | 220 | $0.995 | $218.9 | 14d ago |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.352 | $176 | 14d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.660 | $198 | 14d ago |
 Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?No | buy | 151.86 | $0.300 | $45.56 | 14d ago |
| Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?No | buy | 45.51 | $0.280 | $12.74 | 14d ago |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 750 | $0.140 | $105 | 14d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 450 | $0.180 | $81 | 15d ago |
 US imposes new sanctions on Iran by Monday?No | buy | 490 | $0.020 | $9.8 | 15d ago |
| US imposes new sanctions on Iran by Monday?No | buy | 262.18 | $0.019 | $4.87 | 15d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.150 | $45 | 16d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 205 | $0.044 | $9.02 | 16d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 309.16 | $0.045 | $13.91 | 16d ago |
 Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 500 | $0.995 | $497.5 | 16d ago |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 120 | $0.320 | $38.4 | 16d ago |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 250 | $0.900 | $225 | 16d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 400 | $0.996 | $398.4 | 16d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.037 | $18.46 | 17d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 750 | $0.035 | $26.25 | 19d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 740.13 | $0.355 | $262.75 | 19d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 240.13 | $0.403 | $96.76 | 19d ago |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 800 | $0.700 | $560 | 19d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.1K | $0.050 | $55 | 20d ago |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?No | buy | 435 | $0.390 | $169.65 | 20d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.710 | $142 | 20d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.070 | $56 | 20d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.720 | $216 | 24d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 42 | $0.570 | $23.94 | 25d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 265 | $0.450 | $119.25 | 25d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 26.57 | $0.440 | $11.69 | 25d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.720 | $432 | 26d ago |
 Will Rio Ferdinand attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No | buy | 24.04 | $0.930 | $22.36 | 26d ago |
 Will Edu Aguirre attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No | buy | 58.69 | $0.937 | $54.99 | 26d ago |
 Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No | buy | 400 | $0.940 | $376 | 26d ago |
| Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No | buy | 15 | $0.930 | $13.95 | 26d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 162 | $0.819 | $132.68 | 26d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 225 | $0.720 | $162 | 26d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 225 | $0.720 | $162 | 26d ago |