Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?

Name: Will Poland win Eurovision 2026? — implied probability history
License: https://vultax.com/legal/terms

Resolved

No · settled May 17, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$8.4M

Resolved

Settled

May 17, 2026 UTC

Positions left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
Indigo Signal 2966	No	1.96M	0.0%	$0
Aged-Nail	Yes	213.46K	0.1%	$252.89
klmv	Yes	154.96K	0.6%	$908.93
Sardonic-Convert	Yes	135.31K	0.1%	$135.18	May 16, 10:36 PM UTC
Cryptomoo	Yes	123.79K	0.2%	$249.97
LAVegas	Yes	100K	0.1%	$100
AnimalEater	Yes	35.68K	0.1%	$39.44	May 16, 10:04 PM UTC
Malta4ever	Yes	20K	0.2%	$39.8
leegunner	Yes	20K	0.1%	$20
Ill-Fated-Peanut	Yes	19.84K	0.3%	$51.71	May 16, 9:55 PM UTC
Alwayswinswtf	Yes	16.62K	0.7%	$119.98
peepeepooppoop	Yes	16.15K	2.0%	$323.03
zavoreke	Yes	12.5K	0.4%	$50
Rainforest6	Yes	10K	0.2%	$19.99
pondoxva	Yes	10K	0.2%	$19.99
robotsir	Yes	10K	0.2%	$19.99
Ex4lted	Yes	10K	0.3%	$27.4
St34lthcole	Yes	8.67K	0.2%	$17.82	May 16, 10:52 PM UTC
Treasured-Thermostat	Yes	8.08K	0.2%	$16.98	May 16, 10:19 PM UTC
Embellished-Nougat	Yes	7.5K	0.2%	$14.99
Siquieres	Yes	7.5K	0.3%	$20	May 16, 9:58 PM UTC
Angry-Comparison	Yes	7.2K	0.2%	$14.39
Prof528	Yes	6K	0.2%	$13	May 16, 10:18 PM UTC
1Jack2	Yes	5.83K	0.2%	$10.99	May 16, 9:26 PM UTC
byzheway	Yes	5.75K	0.2%	$11.5
MarkNek	Yes	5.5K	0.2%	$11
Jade Falcon 2704	Yes	5.27K	2.0%	$104.28
neutralwave23	Yes	5.11K	0.2%	$10.22
Len403	Yes	5K	0.2%	$10
Able-Dig	Yes	5K	0.3%	$15	May 16, 10:40 PM UTC
Numb-Bull	Yes	5K	0.2%	$10
Camille12	Yes	5K	0.3%	$15
Ftgggvvv	Yes	5K	0.4%	$20
Menacing-Sushi-Gingerbread	Yes	5K	0.2%	$10
SHF4	Yes	5K	0.2%	$10
GilitoMakesMoney	Yes	5K	0.2%	$10
pd.unique	Yes	4.8K	2.3%	$108.33
plkd	Yes	4.58K	0.3%	$15
SYNOSE	Yes	4.19K	0.2%	$8.37
777laimis	Yes	3.96K	0.3%	$11.87
Confused-Lightscreen	Yes	3.82K	0.3%	$9.45
Noted-Security	Yes	3.74K	0.2%	$7.47
Notable-Pannier	Yes	3.67K	0.5%	$17
Kent777	Yes	3.33K	0.3%	$10
rightnowrightlater	Yes	3.33K	0.3%	$10
JonnyStepanov	Yes	3.33K	0.1%	$3.99
likealovesong	Yes	3.33K	0.3%	$10
Pricey-Oxygen-Webinar	Yes	3K	0.4%	$10	May 16, 10:33 PM UTC
Loathsome-Fascia	Yes	3K	0.2%	$5.99
ACara	Yes	2.97K	0.4%	$12.54
TimeTraveler	Yes	2.75K	0.5%	$13.74
popolupo	Yes	2.67K	0.3%	$7	May 16, 10:42 PM UTC
Elonurmom	Yes	2.5K	0.4%	$10	May 16, 10:19 PM UTC
hagit	Yes	2.5K	0.2%	$5
Erka-RoadTo1M	Yes	2.5K	0.4%	$10
Indigo Beacon 0740	Yes	2.5K	0.2%	$5
Total-Precedence	Yes	2.5K	0.2%	$5
Diggler	Yes	2.5K	0.2%	$5
Dydy773	Yes	2.5K	0.2%	$5
Specific-Cafe	Yes	2.5K	0.2%	$5
Nibron	Yes	2.5K	0.2%	$5
Serious-Endpoint	Yes	2.5K	0.2%	$5
scerq	Yes	2.5K	0.4%	$10
Oida	Yes	2.5K	0.2%	$5
Knightskull	Yes	2.5K	0.4%	$10	May 16, 9:56 PM UTC
Bagzilla	Yes	2.33K	0.2%	$5
Anooshak790	Yes	2.17K	0.3%	$6
Slimy-Modeling	Yes	2.06K	2.0%	$41.21
Babylons.eu	Yes	2K	0.5%	$10
WIZSTE22	Yes	2K	0.1%	$2
jackobjackobjackob	Yes	2K	0.3%	$6	May 16, 10:46 PM UTC
Batjka	Yes	2K	0.2%	$4
yoak	Yes	1.68K	0.3%	$5	May 16, 10:42 PM UTC
omnibus-00c8ef	Yes	1.67K	0.6%	$10
TT011NT	Yes	1.67K	0.6%	$10
Alarmed-Tomato	Yes	1.67K	0.3%	$5
Minibum	Yes	1.67K	0.3%	$5	May 16, 10:10 PM UTC
BlueBubble	Yes	1.64K	0.3%	$5
cowcat	Yes	1.59K	2.0%	$31.74
Foxhound99	Yes	1.5K	0.2%	$3
Wahrheitssager	Yes	1.5K	0.2%	$3
Short-Term-Fit	Yes	1.5K	0.4%	$6
palmaty	Yes	1.5K	0.2%	$3
Fff1244	Yes	1.5K	0.2%	$3
C.MayerCashhh	Yes	1.5K	0.3%	$4.5
Realistic-Object	Yes	1.44K	0.3%	$4.43	May 16, 10:19 PM UTC
Shameless-Temporary	Yes	1.41K	0.4%	$5.23
HerrieDavis	Yes	1.36K	2.0%	$27.15
Naughty-Toaster	Yes	1.33K	0.2%	$3
Gracious-Pup	Yes	1.33K	0.1%	$2	May 16, 10:53 PM UTC
Ivory Sphinx 899E	Yes	1.33K	0.3%	$4	May 16, 10:39 PM UTC
thebigweirdseal	Yes	1.32K	0.3%	$3.97	May 16, 10:43 PM UTC
litio	Yes	1.3K	0.4%	$5.2
WillGetItRight	Yes	1.25K	0.4%	$5
Deafbull	Yes	1.25K	0.4%	$5
EuroShark	Yes	1.21K	0.4%	$5
Consta	Yes	1.17K	0.3%	$3	May 16, 9:36 PM UTC
AkunaMatata	Yes	1.02K	0.3%	$3	May 16, 10:42 PM UTC
Sebytzu	Yes	1K	0.2%	$2
Energetic-Sidestream	Yes	1K	0.2%	$2
beachslav	Yes	1K	0.2%	$2
Positive-Cyclooxygenase	Yes	1K	0.2%	$2
Legal-Godparent	Yes	1K	0.2%	$2
Parnassa26	Yes	1K	0.2%	$2
mbarepippo	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1
LESHKO	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1
Composed-Beam	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1
flanagrama	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1
Icy-Screamer	Yes	1K	0.2%	$2
stevegool	Yes	1K	0.3%	$3	May 16, 10:44 PM UTC
Exalted-Curd	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1
desmadrados	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1
Nexus-6	Yes	1K	0.2%	$2
Menacing-Barstool	Yes	1K	0.2%	$2
Young-Threshold	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1
Lumbering-Nightgown	Yes	1K	0.3%	$3
kidding	Yes	1K	0.2%	$2
Average-Format	Yes	1K	0.2%	$2
Incompatible-Researcher	Yes	1K	0.3%	$3	May 16, 10:42 PM UTC
Guney	Yes	1K	0.3%	$3	May 16, 9:28 PM UTC
subhanx	Yes	1K	0.2%	$2
Putrid-Cure	Yes	955	0.2%	$1.91
Vena	Yes	940	0.5%	$5.2
PM-CT-0000000	Yes	900	0.5%	$4.5
products	Yes	895	2.0%	$17.9
holmemila	Yes	884.83	0.6%	$5
Needham	Yes	850	0.2%	$1.7
Gummy-Basket	Yes	835.07	0.6%	$5
Other-Quest	Yes	833.33	0.6%	$5
kucobi	Yes	810	0.5%	$4.05
Nowaterinthebank	Yes	750	0.2%	$1.5
kaktusmaktus	Yes	750	0.4%	$3
Kochievalan	Yes	750	0.4%	$3	May 16, 10:19 PM UTC
Username1212888	Yes	750	0.4%	$3
Novus0rdoSeclorum	Yes	720.97	2.0%	$14.42	May 16, 10:32 PM UTC
JoE	Yes	675.55	2.0%	$13.51
Itchy-Organization	Yes	666.67	0.3%	$2
theden4ik	Yes	666.67	0.3%	$2	May 16, 9:36 PM UTC
Plump-Deadline	Yes	666.67	0.3%	$2
Emerald Raven F8DD	Yes	666.67	0.3%	$2
Deirha	Yes	666.67	0.3%	$2	May 16, 10:48 PM UTC
False-Lentil	Yes	666.67	0.3%	$2
Intentional-Offramp	Yes	666.67	0.3%	$2	May 16, 9:49 PM UTC
Famous-Discharge	Yes	666.67	0.3%	$2
Closed-Bitten	Yes	666.67	0.3%	$2
nexusoptimus	Yes	665.58	0.5%	$3.33
Kreso321	Yes	637.84	0.5%	$3
e46m3	Yes	618.41	0.0%	$0
Repulsive-Routine	Yes	616.67	0.5%	$3
adrenvl22	Yes	616.07	0.7%	$4.28
florencioescardo	Yes	601	0.5%	$3
aquafish-..-..-	Yes	583.33	0.4%	$2	May 16, 10:19 PM UTC
Grouchy-Mower	Yes	555	0.3%	$1.66	May 16, 10:21 PM UTC
NoLoyaltyToTheBosses	Yes	545	0.0%	$0	May 16, 10:38 PM UTC
beneltayar	Yes	530	0.2%	$1.06
Quintessential-Sentencing	Yes	523.33	0.3%	$1.57	May 16, 10:19 PM UTC
sendtozero	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
tdsdorian	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
Azure Horizon B075	Yes	500	0.4%	$2
Hard-To-Find-Colonisation	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
evanm20282	Yes	500	0.4%	$2
MKB	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
Unwritten-Landscape	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
uivlis	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
GustavsRules	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
Naughty-Bubble	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
Andreatrader	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
flashy07	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
Required-Wren	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
fintech	Yes	500	0.2%	$1	May 16, 9:31 PM UTC
Defensive-Blowhole	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
Loganfox	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
Handsome-Lifetime	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
JOSHUE17	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
4e6c6d640ac518637bf785f98ffd7ec2	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
0nions	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
Olbrzymidzie	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
Thorough-Skeleton	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
pbvfb	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
Definitive-Rambler	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
Drab-Discount	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
Captain88	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
Forthright-Armpit	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
Seabstian	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
ElenaOpp	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
Lustrous-Pipeline	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
NSR	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
itachidfg	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
Vibrant-Accordance	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
Fortunate-Galoshes	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
Pengusama	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
popcode28	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
Omri9	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
Marti1	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
Sociable-Cooking	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
MicaelV	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
WhimsyBird	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
Markus392	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
Hidden-Guideline	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
JuicyR	Yes	500	0.3%	$1.5
moneymoney2	Yes	500	0.4%	$2
Nimble-Dibble-Backbone	Yes	500	0.4%	$2
M2theJJ	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
Menacing-Fingernail	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
neosilv	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
Emerald Kestrel 06E2	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
dombelo	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
Graceful-Picturesque	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
Royal Comet 15B1	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
Dorianm9m	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
Puzzled-Compass	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
Batistuta	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
Crocoflex	Yes	500	0.4%	$2	May 16, 10:48 PM UTC
bobinho.dp	Yes	499.96	0.3%	$1.5
bitmoooney	Yes	482.29	0.2%	$1	May 16, 10:40 PM UTC
Rezzor	Yes	433.33	0.3%	$1.3
Rowdy-Stimulus	Yes	416.67	0.5%	$2
RollTheDiceX	Yes	402.01	0.5%	$2
Kazmcp	Yes	400	0.5%	$2
bobtherob2006	Yes	400	0.2%	$0.8
Jade Horizon 2B6D	Yes	400	0.4%	$1.6
Bold-Project	Yes	400	0.5%	$2
NK96NK	Yes	346.08	0.3%	$1	May 16, 10:18 PM UTC
Delightful-Majority	Yes	333.34	0.3%	$1	May 16, 10:39 PM UTC
ksosdn	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1	May 16, 10:19 PM UTC
letsgo20bandos	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1	May 16, 9:53 PM UTC
GandalfAirlines	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1	May 16, 10:19 PM UTC
Vacant-Ravioli	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1
Occasional-Xylophone	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1
Shady-Maybe	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1
pruch30	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1
Drab-Cupcake-Pickaxe	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1	May 16, 10:39 PM UTC
Marvelous-Sponsorship	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1
Amesh	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1	May 16, 10:18 PM UTC
deyyuz	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1
Chucky32	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1	May 16, 9:37 PM UTC
Xedr	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1	May 16, 9:42 PM UTC
74k1	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1
OtisTravis	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1
BeerBetter	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1
Liav665632	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1	May 16, 10:40 PM UTC
Pushy-Stall	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1
Toyflagman	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1
MyInfinity	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1
FreeCityIndividual	Yes	333	2.0%	$6.66
Admirable-Soprano	Yes	332.86	0.7%	$2.33
ibwqs	Yes	300	0.3%	$0.9	May 16, 10:19 PM UTC
IBSI	Yes	290	0.7%	$2
Crimson Oracle 5B87	Yes	250	0.4%	$1
SonataElPatrona	Yes	250	0.4%	$1
0xDC.	Yes	250	0.4%	$1
UMA-3CAM	Yes	250	0.4%	$1
Keen Voyager 40B4	Yes	250	0.4%	$1
Ardtysrt01	Yes	250	0.4%	$1
Spotless-Kangaroo	Yes	250	0.4%	$1
Motherly-Sill	Yes	250	0.4%	$1
Impartial-Connection	Yes	250	0.4%	$1
brodoser	Yes	250	0.4%	$1
Ivory Ledger 8F4D	Yes	250	0.4%	$1
S3LFMADE	Yes	250	0.4%	$1
Ripper4	Yes	250	0.4%	$1
push3d	Yes	250	0.4%	$1
BitcoinKaiser	Yes	250	0.4%	$1
Stingy-Collar	Yes	250	0.4%	$1	May 16, 10:19 PM UTC
Cobalt Comet A889	Yes	250	0.4%	$1
Liormakemony	Yes	250	0.4%	$1
BuchD	Yes	250	0.4%	$1
Warped-Pumpkin	Yes	250	0.4%	$1
Welz	Yes	250	0.4%	$1
ghekirinii	Yes	250	0.4%	$1
Self-Reliant-Probation	Yes	250	0.4%	$1
Sitrix	Yes	250	0.4%	$1	May 16, 10:18 PM UTC
Lonely-Ketchup	Yes	250	0.4%	$1
Recent-Prelude	Yes	250	0.4%	$1
Some-Canoe	Yes	250	0.4%	$1
Dishonest-Message	Yes	250	0.4%	$1
Quiet Voyager 246F	Yes	250	0.4%	$1
Mad-Transmission	Yes	250	0.4%	$1
Frigyes86	Yes	250	0.4%	$1
alex2711	Yes	249.98	0.4%	$1
ng6000	Yes	205	0.5%	$1.03
sellingreality	Yes	200	0.5%	$1
Coco4	Yes	200	0.5%	$1
Monia44	Yes	200	0.5%	$1
Simplistic-Radiator	Yes	200	0.5%	$1
surlollipop	Yes	200	0.5%	$1
WH1Z	Yes	200	0.5%	$1
vasys	Yes	199.98	1.1%	$2.2
Eonresy	Yes	184.98	0.6%	$1.17
Sunekaer	Yes	181.82	0.2%	$0.36
needmoney4food	Yes	166.67	0.6%	$1
echoctrl	Yes	166.67	0.6%	$1
Arturouvinov	Yes	166.67	0.6%	$1
Irritating-Keeper	Yes	166.67	0.6%	$1
uchekan	Yes	166.67	0.6%	$1
Aggravating-Plane	Yes	166.66	0.8%	$1.33
starboy1405	Yes	153.85	1.3%	$2
human.bean	Yes	151.48	1.8%	$2.76
malahaiyupian	Yes	142.86	0.7%	$1
Extra-Large-Badger	Yes	142.86	0.7%	$1
Amazing-Riddle	Yes	142.86	0.7%	$1
Slow-Subgroup	Yes	125	0.8%	$1
jennylulu2016	Yes	124	1.0%	$1.27
qWOprt7	Yes	100.83	3.0%	$3
Rokokoraccoon	Yes	100	0.1%	$0.1
Limp-Senate	Yes	100	0.6%	$0.6
ifiljov	Yes	93.64	1.1%	$1
GollumGekko	Yes	83.75	1.6%	$1.3
TransRightsAreHumanRights	Yes	83.33	1.2%	$1
Valuable-Curl-Caribou	Yes	76	0.2%	$0.15
Frank2345	Yes	74.56	0.1%	$0.07
dycha	No	69.14	99.8%	$69
kalubet	Yes	68.31	1.5%	$1
Amber Falcon CFF5	Yes	67.66	1.0%	$0.69
Garfield47	Yes	65.55	3.0%	$2
LaBefana	Yes	60.63	3.3%	$2
Colala	Yes	60	1.2%	$0.72
chrzanu	Yes	58.28	1.7%	$1
quiddy	Yes	52.77	0.0%	$0
Bold-Minion	Yes	50	2.0%	$1
AlexFromRussia	Yes	50	2.3%	$1.15
gazzadk1981	Yes	50	0.4%	$0.2
Cosmic Raven C559	Yes	45.63	0.6%	$0.27
cry.eth2	Yes	42.31	0.0%	$0
username-is-not-taken	Yes	36.31	0.0%	$0
sunshine2305	Yes	33.67	3.0%	$1
tttdd	Yes	30	0.4%	$0.12
triklozoid	Yes	29.98	0.1%	$0.03
evilQueen	Yes	28.99	7.2%	$2
Lunar Oracle 1D52	No	27.25	99.9%	$27.22
Careful-Wampum	Yes	25	3.3%	$0.83
letmecookibegyou	Yes	18.42	0.0%	$0
Keen Pioneer 1D85	Yes	14	0.2%	$0.03
a5tthsyuo3c	Yes	11.53	1.5%	$0.17
wwder	Yes	10	0.1%	$0.01
Crimson Ledger 2573	Yes	9	0.0%	$0
Lunar Lynx 6813	Yes	8.67	0.4%	$0.03
PollyForge	Yes	8.01	0.8%	$0.07
fjao80lda	No	6.66	99.7%	$6.64
rocketcrypto	Yes	5	1.0%	$0.05
Insidious-Maelstrom	Yes	5	1.3%	$0.07
3-mil-on-tour	Yes	5	1.0%	$0.05
NoMoreMister	Yes	3.38	1.4%	$0.05
Evador	Yes	3.03	1.3%	$0.04
oop0	No	2.2	99.7%	$2.19
yzhaobk-nrt	Yes	2.05	0.0%	$0
66yyu	No	1.89	99.7%	$1.88
DiaelFred	No	1.68	99.7%	$1.67
morilun	Yes	1.26	0.1%	$0
sepolo	Yes	1.14	0.0%	$0
BuyTheDip007	Yes	1.04	2.0%	$0.02
ra5tadark	Yes	1	0.8%	$0.01
Dependent-Convention	Yes	1	0.3%	$0
26lkkdasdsa	Yes	0.94	0.4%	$0
shine	Yes	0.37	1.8%	$0.01
EdwardLewis	Yes	0.25	1.9%	$0
Laurentdepau	No	0.11	99.9%	$0.11	May 16, 11:24 PM UTC

357 of 357 positions.

Holders by valueThe same holders, ranked by what their position is worth now.

Trader	Holding value
Indigo Signal 2966	$1.96M
dycha	$69.14
Lunar Oracle 1D52	$27.25

Analytics