Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 4.87 | $0.256 | $1.25 | Jul 20, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 115.69 |
| $0.999 |
| $115.57 |
| Jul 20, 2026 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 4.88 | $0.246 | $1.2 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 110.14 | $0.572 | $63 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.56 | $0.060 | $0.09 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?Yes | sell | 56.81 | $0.998 | $56.67 | Jul 14, 2026 |
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.040 | $0.5 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 13.57 | $0.036 | $0.49 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Yes | sell | 1.13 | $0.840 | $0.95 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | sell | 35.71 | $0.043 | $1.54 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | sell | 33.33 | $0.070 | $2.33 | Jul 14, 2026 |
US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?Yes | buy | 56.82 | $0.880 | $50 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.520 | $52 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 270.27 | $0.806 | $217.84 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Apr 20, 2026 |
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Apr 20, 2026 |
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Apr 20, 2026 |
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Apr 20, 2026 |
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Apr 20, 2026 |
Will France win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 8.62 | $0.116 | $1 | Apr 20, 2026 |
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-21?Yes | buy | 1.74 | $0.560 | $0.97 | Apr 20, 2026 |
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-04-25?Yes | buy | 2.35 | $0.410 | $0.96 | Apr 20, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Iowa speech?Yes | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Jan 27, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
Will 90 to 119 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.018 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
Ex-FaZe members form new organization by March 31?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.021 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?Yes | buy | 111.12 | $0.009 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.090 | $2 | Jan 8, 2026 |
US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Jan 8, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?Yes | buy | 27.5 | $0.100 | $2.75 | Jan 8, 2026 |
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 270.27 | $0.037 | $10 | Jan 4, 2026 |
Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?No | buy | 40.6 | $0.148 | $6 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?No | buy | 20.41 | $0.147 | $3 | Jan 3, 2026 |
ECB rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.160 | $4 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Will Spain participate in Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 104.73 | $0.095 | $10 | Dec 5, 2025 |
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | Dec 2, 2025 |
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | buy | 41.78 | $0.048 | $2 | Dec 2, 2025 |
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 26.95 | $0.742 | $20 | Dec 1, 2025 |
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 20.24 | $0.741 | $15 | Dec 1, 2025 |
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 5.17 | $0.580 | $3 | Nov 30, 2025 |
Trump enacts a de minimis crypto tax exemption before 2026?Yes | buy | 100.22 | $0.020 | $2 | Nov 30, 2025 |