Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strike on Colombia by December 31? | Yes | 41.67 | $0.240 | $8.12 | -$1.88 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No | sell | 80 | $0.040 | $3.2 | 21d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 18.52 |
| $0.270 |
| $4.45 |
| -$0.55 |
 Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? | Yes | 13.16 | $0.380 | $3.03 | -$1.97 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 18.52 | $0.270 | $2.62 | -$2.38 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 101.12 | $0.089 | $2.58 | -$6.42 |
 Will Iran legalize gay marriage? | Yes | 128.21 | $0.039 | $2.44 | -$2.56 |
 Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 31.25 | $0.160 | $2.03 | -$2.97 |
 KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? | Yes | 25 | $0.120 | $1.54 | -$1.46 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | Yes | 20 | $0.150 | $1.5 | -$1.5 |
 James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? | Yes | 42.86 | $0.070 | $1.14 | -$1.86 |
 Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 13.64 | $0.220 | $0.61 | -$2.39 |
 Will Frontier Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31? | Yes | 7.14 | $0.140 | $0.54 | -$0.46 |
 Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31? | Yes | 6.67 | $0.150 | $0.53 | -$0.47 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 11.11 | $0.090 | $0.43 | -$0.57 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 2.63 | $0.380 | $0.38 | -$0.62 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 10 | $0.100 | $0.38 | -$0.63 |
 Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 16.67 | $0.300 | $0.34 | -$4.66 |
 Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31? | Yes | 16.67 | $0.060 | $0.3 | -$0.7 |
 Will Allegiant announce bankruptcy by December 31? | Yes | 11.11 | $0.090 | $0.26 | -$0.74 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 55.56 | $0.090 | $0.25 | -$4.75 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 9.09 | $0.110 | $0.2 | -$0.8 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | Yes | 23.81 | $0.042 | $0.2 | -$0.8 |
 Will American Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31? | Yes | 11.11 | $0.090 | $0.16 | -$0.84 |
 Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 250 | $0.004 | $0.13 | -$0.88 |
| Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 250 | $0.004 | $0.13 | -$0.88 |
| buy |
| 80 |
| $0.050 |
| $4 |
| 21d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3:50AM-3:55AM ETUp | buy | 8.7 | $0.230 | $2 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3:50AM-3:55AM ETUp | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceEngland | buy | 5.43 | $0.552 | $3 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceFrance | buy | 5.02 | $0.597 | $3 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.144 | $7.2 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?No | buy | 65.22 | $0.230 | $15 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Turkey sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Jordan sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Kuwait sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Saudi Arabia sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Syria sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?Yes | buy | 20.41 | $0.049 | $1 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Israel sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.036 | $1 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.58 | $0.152 | $1 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.042 | $1 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Graham Platner drops out before Maine Senate Dem primary?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.031 | $1 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: JuneSomething | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | May 29, 2026 |
 Map 2: Odd/Even Total Rounds?Odd | buy | 10.01 | $0.005 | $0.05 | May 29, 2026 |
 Was the Fox News guest wearing a mask?Yes | buy | 1.02K | $0.006 | $6.12 | May 27, 2026 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?No | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | May 27, 2026 |
 Özgür Özel arrested by June 30?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | May 27, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will Trump attend his son's wedding?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.024 | $1 | May 24, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.003 | $3 | May 24, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | May 24, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 27?Yes | buy | 4.93 | $0.203 | $1 | May 24, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?Yes | buy | 2.47K | $0.007 | $17.27 | May 13, 2026 |
 Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?Yes | sell | 196.2 | $0.110 | $21.58 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?Yes | sell | 44.77 | $0.075 | $3.36 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?Yes | sell | 10.75 | $0.280 | $3.01 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?Yes | buy | 814.29 | $0.007 | $5.7 | May 13, 2026 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?Yes | buy | 69.2 | $0.043 | $3 | May 7, 2026 |
| James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?Yes | buy | 42.86 | $0.070 | $3 | May 7, 2026 |
 James Comey charges dropped by May 31?Yes | buy | 176.47 | $0.017 | $3 | May 7, 2026 |
 Will James Comey leave the country by May 15?Yes | buy | 780 | $0.003 | $2.34 | May 7, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?Yes | buy | 17.65 | $0.170 | $3 | May 7, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 18.75 | $0.160 | $3 | May 7, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.180 | $3 | May 7, 2026 |
 Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | May 7, 2026 |
| KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.120 | $3 | May 7, 2026 |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | May 7, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 101.12 | $0.089 | $9 | May 7, 2026 |
| Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?Yes | buy | 196.2 | $0.100 | $19.62 | May 7, 2026 |