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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 22.84 | $0.044 | $13.49 | +$12.49 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Yes | buy | 68.46 | $0.015 | $1 | May 6, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 45.45 |
| $0.022 |
| $3.09 |
| +$2.09 |
| Will there be exactly 4 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 485.1 | $0.002 | $2.67 | +$1.67 |
 Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? | No | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1.88 | +$0.88 |
 No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027 | Yes | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1.14 | +$0.14 |
 Anduril IPO before 2027? | Yes | 14.56 | $0.137 | $1.02 | -$0.98 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 17.54 | $0.057 | $0.57 | -$0.43 |
 Anduril Industries IPO before 2027? | Yes | 10 | $0.100 | $0.55 | -$0.45 |
 Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 111.11 | $0.009 | $0.5 | -$0.5 |
 Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 22.95 | $0.043 | $0.42 | -$0.58 |
 Will Alibaba be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | Yes | 61.05 | $0.016 | $0.31 | -$0.69 |
 Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 200 | $0.005 | $0.3 | -$0.7 |
 Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 34.48 | $0.029 | $0.21 | -$0.79 |
 Human moon landing in 2026? | Yes | 21.74 | $0.046 | $0.18 | -$0.82 |
 Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 90.91 | $0.011 | $0.14 | -$0.86 |
 Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 250 | $0.004 | $0.13 | -$0.88 |
| Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.005 | $0.1 | -$0.9 |
| Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.005 | $0.1 | -$0.9 |
 Will xAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | Yes | 9.09 | $0.110 | $0.08 | -$0.92 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 23.26 | $0.043 | $0.07 | -$0.93 |
| Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 125 | $0.008 | $0.06 | -$0.94 |
 Will SpaceX have between 100-119 launches in 2026? | Yes | 14.47 | $0.069 | $0.04 | -$0.96 |
| buy |
| 66.25 |
| $0.015 |
| $1 |
| May 6, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | May 6, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 7.69 | $0.400 | $3.08 | May 6, 2026 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.027 | $1 | May 1, 2026 |
 Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | May 1, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $610b and $620b on May 31?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $610b on May 31?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | May 1, 2026 |
 Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $330 Week of April 27 2026?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of April 27 2026?Yes | buy | 132.91 | $0.015 | $2 | May 1, 2026 |
 Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $132 Week of April 27 2026?Yes | buy | 210.53 | $0.010 | $2 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $129 Week of April 27 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | sell | 63.38 | $0.220 | $13.96 | May 1, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.021 | $1 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in May 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Yes | sell | 6.25 | $0.220 | $1.38 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Microsoft reach $473 in April?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.059 | $1.18 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Amazon have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will Amazon have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in August 2026 (ET)?Yes | sell | 13.6 | $0.097 | $1.32 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Oracle be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | buy | 316.54 | $0.003 | $1 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | buy | 92.13 | $0.011 | $1 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 128.67 | $0.007 | $0.9 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 300.1 | $0.003 | $0.9 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 300.1 | $0.003 | $0.9 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 60.1 | $0.015 | $0.9 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 43.84 | $0.021 | $0.9 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX raise between $40B and $50B in its IPO?Yes | buy | 162.84 | $0.043 | $7 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?Yes | buy | 428.14 | $0.002 | $0.86 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?Yes | buy | 85.74 | $0.010 | $0.86 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?Yes | buy | 114.42 | $0.015 | $1.72 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?Yes | buy | 45.2 | $0.019 | $0.86 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?Yes | buy | 107.14 | $0.008 | $0.86 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?Yes | buy | 285.48 | $0.003 | $0.86 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?Yes | buy | 285.48 | $0.003 | $0.86 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?Yes | buy | 285.48 | $0.003 | $0.86 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?Yes | buy | 428.14 | $0.002 | $0.86 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.033 | $1 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 724.02 | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 643.69 | $0.002 | $1 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 2.25T and 2.50T?Yes | buy | 35.48 | $0.028 | $1 | Apr 19, 2026 |