Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Theo FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | 2.39 | $0.720 | $1.91 | +$0.19 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kash Patel out by December 31?Yes | sell | 6.6 | $0.530 | $3.5 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 44.91 |
| $0.230 |
| $10.33 |
| Jun 13, 2026 |
 Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.992 | $4.96 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.992 | $4.96 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?No | sell | 5 | $0.965 | $4.83 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.990 | $4.95 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?No | sell | 5 | $0.995 | $4.98 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?No | sell | 5 | $0.885 | $4.43 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will the Democrats win the Illinois governor race in 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.910 | $4.55 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.992 | $4.96 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 5 | $0.955 | $4.77 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?No | sell | 5 | $0.972 | $4.86 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will Steve Daines be the next Senate Majority Leader?Yes | sell | 9.1 | $0.022 | $0.2 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.050 | $0.5 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Theo FDV above $300M one day after launch?No | sell | 9.61 | $0.500 | $4.81 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.036 | $0.47 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?Yes | sell | 13.4 | $0.530 | $7.1 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 45 | $0.007 | $0.32 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.240 | $3.6 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 166 | $0.063 | $10.46 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on April 1?Up | buy | 4.96 | $0.940 | $4.66 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on April 1?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.920 | $4.61 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Bucks vs. RocketsRockets | buy | 4.98 | $0.940 | $4.68 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 1?No | buy | 5 | $0.920 | $4.6 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on April 1?No | buy | 4.96 | $0.950 | $4.72 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 1?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.930 | $4.65 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 1?Yes | buy | 4.97 | $0.960 | $4.77 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 19 | $0.003 | $0.06 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.002 | $0.04 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 24?No | buy | 5.04 | $0.921 | $4.64 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 24?Down | buy | 5 | $0.940 | $4.7 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs FC Famalicão Esports (BO3) - Journey Group BJohnny Speeds | buy | 5 | $0.940 | $4.7 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Liberal Alliance win the second most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.937 | $4.71 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Mike Johnson out as Speaker by March 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.011 | $0.05 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Denny McCarthy win the 2026 Masters tournament?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.002 | $0.04 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Charl Schwartzel win the 2026 Masters tournament?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.003 | $0.06 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.003 | $0.06 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will MrBeast hit 500 Million subscribers by March 31?Yes | sell | 33 | $0.002 | $0.07 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Steven Stamkos win the 2025–2026 NHL Maurice 'Rocket' Richard Trophy?Yes | sell | 49 | $0.001 | $0.05 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.003 | $0.06 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Charlie Lindgren win the 2025–2026 NHL Vezina Trophy?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.001 | $0.05 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.003 | $0.06 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Havrylivka by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.940 | $4.7 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Spread: Genoa CFC (-2.5)Udinese Calcio | buy | 4.99 | $0.940 | $4.69 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Will Angers SCO win on 2026-03-20?No | buy | 5 | $0.940 | $4.7 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-03-21?No | buy | 5 | $0.940 | $4.7 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.969 | $4.85 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Will the New York Knicks finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Eastern Conference?Yes | sell | 16 | $0.003 | $0.05 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Will Z.ai have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.010 | $0.12 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $100B and $200B at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 16 | $0.016 | $0.26 | Mar 19, 2026 |