Analytics
Yes is at 9%, down 41 points from 50% when the market opened on 6 Aug 2026.
Across the 81 daily closes on record from 6 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 6 Aug 2026 and the lowest 6% on 19 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 6%; a month before, 12.5%. Its largest one-day move was 42 points down, to 8.5% on 7 Aug 2026.
It is one of 50 markets under “NCAA Football: CFB Playoff Top 4 Seeds”.
$5.78K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $363.27, with a 4.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 48 trades, $225.51 bought Yes and $2.55K bought No; the largest was a $1.21K buy of No at 92.0¢.
The largest Yes position is oliman2 with 1.4K shares; the largest No position is Teeelakz with 1.3K.
Trading closes on 21 Dec 2026, 52 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 1:17 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 81 points, 6 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 9.0% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the above team is seeded No. 1, No. 2, No. 3, or No. 4 in the 2026-27 College Football Playoff bracket, and "No" otherwise. If the 2026-27 College Football Playoff is canceled, or an official bracket is not released by December 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, all outcomes in this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the College Football Playoff (collegefootballplayoff.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ncaa-football-cfb-playoff-top-4-seeds-20260803203916647
37 more markets, none above 17.5%.
| Violet Maven 063C |
| No |
| 236.09 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 114.9 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 103.92 |
| justmeandme | Yes | 101 |
| macrosteaks | Yes | 87 |
| Ivory Summit 3887 | Yes | 21.54 |
| Slow-Exhibit | Yes | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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