Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?

Name: Will Germany win Eurovision 2026? — implied probability history
License: https://vultax.com/legal/terms

Resolved

No · settled May 17, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$4.6M

Resolved

Settled

May 17, 2026 UTC

Positions left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
Indigo Signal 2966	No	1.96M	0.0%	$0
LAVegas	Yes	297.46K	0.1%	$297.18	May 15, 10:12 AM UTC
rdba	Yes	265.42K	2.0%	$5.39K
TimeTraveler	Yes	174.43K	0.1%	$175.3
Timely-Granola	Yes	98.77K	0.1%	$98.68	May 16, 7:42 PM UTC
leotasokl2026	Yes	94.73K	0.1%	$94.73
Cryptomoo	Yes	38.82K	0.2%	$74.98	May 16, 9:02 PM UTC
peepeepooppoop	Yes	35.08K	2.0%	$701.51
Azure Summit DD93	Yes	22.5K	0.2%	$44.98
Sakul	Yes	18.85K	0.2%	$29.97	May 16, 8:49 PM UTC
pd.unique	Yes	17.4K	2.3%	$392.96	May 14, 11:50 PM UTC
Novus0rdoSeclorum	Yes	15.16K	2.0%	$303.14	May 14, 8:07 PM UTC
Loathsome-Fascia	Yes	14.32K	0.1%	$14.31	May 16, 9:49 AM UTC
Scornful-Conductor	Yes	14.01K	2.1%	$293.24	May 14, 9:46 PM UTC
Maruk	Yes	12.81K	0.1%	$12.8	May 16, 7:30 PM UTC
Chiko10	Yes	12K	0.1%	$11.99	May 16, 3:25 PM UTC
MarkNek	Yes	11K	0.1%	$10.99	May 16, 6:26 PM UTC
Pastewka	Yes	11K	0.1%	$10.99	May 16, 7:04 PM UTC
leegunner	Yes	10.53K	0.2%	$21.04
madmartigan5	Yes	10.39K	0.7%	$75.37
Rainforest6	Yes	10K	0.2%	$19.99
Turbulent-East	Yes	10K	0.1%	$9.99	May 16, 5:51 AM UTC
calebpaulsy	Yes	10K	0.1%	$9.99	May 16, 6:05 PM UTC
Golmaino	Yes	10K	0.1%	$9.99	May 16, 6:47 PM UTC
Menacing-Sushi-Gingerbread	Yes	10K	0.1%	$9.99	May 16, 10:28 AM UTC
zdenek1	Yes	7.5K	0.1%	$7.49	May 15, 5:21 AM UTC
Easy-Usage-Original	Yes	7K	0.1%	$6.99	May 16, 9:34 PM UTC
Dorianm9m	Yes	7K	0.1%	$6.99	May 16, 7:28 PM UTC
grrrw	Yes	6.75K	0.9%	$60
Elastic-Custody	Yes	6K	0.1%	$5.99	May 16, 7:24 PM UTC
edustu	Yes	5.84K	0.1%	$5.83	May 16, 6:26 PM UTC
neutralwave23	Yes	5.11K	0.2%	$10.21	May 14, 8:03 PM UTC
easynow	Yes	5.04K	0.5%	$27.93
Monstrous-Peace-Cayenne	Yes	5K	0.2%	$10
Hefty-Drawbridge	Yes	5K	0.2%	$10
Lost-Jaw-Awareness	Yes	5K	0.1%	$5	May 16, 8:09 PM UTC
Obvious-Kendo	Yes	5K	0.1%	$5	May 16, 9:58 PM UTC
JungPung	Yes	5K	0.1%	$5	May 16, 7:26 PM UTC
donho13	Yes	5K	0.1%	$5	May 16, 9:48 PM UTC
EuroShark	Yes	5K	0.1%	$5	May 15, 6:52 PM UTC
SpassMitAffen	Yes	5K	0.1%	$5	May 16, 8:36 PM UTC
Specific-Cafe	Yes	5K	0.1%	$5	May 16, 6:26 PM UTC
newmagic22	Yes	5K	0.1%	$5	May 16, 10:01 PM UTC
Detailed-Shadowbox	Yes	5K	0.1%	$5	May 16, 7:26 PM UTC
Quantentunnel	Yes	5K	0.1%	$5	May 16, 8:48 PM UTC
Square-Steam	Yes	5K	0.1%	$5	May 16, 7:56 PM UTC
Carrerafuzzi	Yes	5K	0.1%	$5	May 16, 8:39 PM UTC
Bigggggggg	Yes	4.97K	1.7%	$84.54
Batjka	Yes	4K	0.1%	$4	May 16, 3:45 PM UTC
Punctual-Basics	Yes	4K	0.5%	$20
foxtrg	Yes	4K	0.5%	$20
HerrieDavis	Yes	3.8K	2.0%	$75.96
Grouchy-Mower	Yes	3.71K	0.1%	$3.71	May 16, 4:49 PM UTC
IBSI	Yes	3.5K	0.2%	$7.59
Limited-Shaw	Yes	3.45K	0.1%	$5.03	May 15, 11:52 AM UTC
robotsir	Yes	3.33K	0.3%	$10
M182	Yes	3.2K	0.5%	$16
Babylons.eu	Yes	3.16K	0.6%	$18.97
Foxhound99	Yes	3K	0.1%	$3	May 16, 6:22 PM UTC
JonnyStepanov	Yes	3K	0.1%	$3	May 15, 12:36 PM UTC
Predictoor	Yes	3K	0.1%	$3	May 16, 7:42 PM UTC
Gordon.G	Yes	3K	0.5%	$15
Kotsios94	Yes	2.5K	0.2%	$5	May 14, 8:55 PM UTC
Freedom-BY	Yes	2.36K	0.3%	$7.21
Colorful-Downturn	Yes	2.34K	0.9%	$20
ACara	Yes	2.34K	0.7%	$15.33
Sebytzu	Yes	2.31K	0.1%	$2.31	May 16, 6:20 PM UTC
Elias.Thornwell	Yes	2.11K	0.3%	$6.27
noob4dezenuts	Yes	2.1K	0.2%	$4.2
Klopat	Yes	2.1K	0.4%	$8.99
Slimy-Modeling	Yes	2.06K	2.0%	$41.21
Irresponsible-Vinegar	Yes	2K	0.1%	$2	May 16, 9:58 PM UTC
Bessinho	Yes	2K	0.1%	$2	May 16, 8:04 PM UTC
omnibus-00c8ef	Yes	2K	0.1%	$2	May 16, 9:44 PM UTC
Kent777	Yes	2K	0.5%	$10
Turbulent-Clip	Yes	2K	0.1%	$2	May 16, 7:19 PM UTC
sxxxo	Yes	2K	0.2%	$4
squirrel69	Yes	2K	0.1%	$2	May 16, 6:57 PM UTC
Agile-Kettledrum	Yes	2K	0.1%	$2	May 16, 6:45 PM UTC
fortniteplayer	Yes	2K	0.5%	$10
KingMikel72	Yes	2K	0.2%	$4
Grave-Banyan	Yes	2K	0.5%	$10
WIZSTE22	Yes	2K	0.1%	$2	May 15, 12:00 PM UTC
likealovesong	Yes	2K	0.5%	$10
Prof528	Yes	2K	0.1%	$2	May 16, 9:19 PM UTC
Intentional-Offramp	Yes	2K	0.1%	$2	May 16, 9:49 PM UTC
Exalted-Curd	Yes	2K	0.1%	$2	May 15, 12:35 PM UTC
Allez-vous-en	Yes	1.75K	0.5%	$8.75
cowcat	Yes	1.59K	2.0%	$31.74
IamJanMarsalek	Yes	1.54K	0.4%	$6.53
Brilliant-Poll	Yes	1.5K	0.6%	$9
bibibk	Yes	1.5K	0.2%	$3
Fluffy-Towtruck	Yes	1.35K	0.4%	$5.99
hmara	Yes	1.35K	0.4%	$6
0xDC.	Yes	1.2K	0.2%	$2	May 16, 9:15 PM UTC
C.MayerCashhh	Yes	1.2K	0.5%	$6
ayyatollah	Yes	1.19K	0.4%	$4.6	May 16, 9:32 PM UTC
Nowaterinthebank	Yes	1.1K	0.1%	$1.1	May 16, 7:07 PM UTC
godblessme2026	Yes	1.09K	1.1%	$12.12
tdsdorian	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1	May 16, 6:36 PM UTC
Able-Dig	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1	May 16, 3:36 PM UTC
Golden Sphinx E375	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1	May 16, 1:17 PM UTC
Wahrheitssager	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1	May 16, 7:28 PM UTC
beachslav	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1	May 16, 2:29 PM UTC
Naughty-Bubble	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1	May 16, 9:18 PM UTC
Elastic-Mood	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1	May 16, 11:10 PM UTC
Indigo Beacon 0740	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1	May 16, 8:59 AM UTC
Anooshak790	Yes	1K	0.2%	$2	May 14, 9:36 PM UTC
Unknown-Rainmaker	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1	May 16, 7:27 PM UTC
Gabrieldrg	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1	May 16, 9:08 PM UTC
Zynthex	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1	May 16, 4:15 AM UTC
Growing-Mink	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1	May 16, 9:53 AM UTC
0nions	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1	May 15, 2:58 PM UTC
Legal-Godparent	Yes	1K	0.2%	$2
Vicious-Smuggling	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1	May 16, 9:50 PM UTC
Parnassa26	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1	May 16, 7:24 PM UTC
True-Jailhouse	Yes	1K	0.5%	$5
Livid-Riot	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1	May 16, 7:48 PM UTC
mbarepippo	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1	May 15, 12:33 PM UTC
pbvfb	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1	May 16, 5:45 PM UTC
Forthright-Armpit	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1	May 16, 6:41 PM UTC
Longhey	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1	May 15, 7:56 PM UTC
Uncommon-Highland	Yes	1K	0.5%	$5
flanagrama	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1	May 15, 1:46 PM UTC
Katse	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1	May 15, 3:27 PM UTC
Lunar Summit AB3B	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1	May 16, 7:38 PM UTC
Irresponsible-Atelier	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1	May 16, 9:23 PM UTC
hommik	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1	May 15, 12:46 PM UTC
AkiraIto	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1	May 15, 11:18 PM UTC
Fff1244	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1	May 16, 9:00 PM UTC
carduz	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1	May 16, 9:48 PM UTC
Kranvoda	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1	May 16, 3:26 PM UTC
Marti1	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1	May 15, 7:34 PM UTC
Hari5	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1	May 16, 8:12 PM UTC
Jaded-Pain	Yes	1K	0.2%	$2	May 16, 9:28 PM UTC
Striking-Convenience	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1	May 16, 10:24 AM UTC
jdschaupp	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1	May 16, 7:38 PM UTC
Veckopengen	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1	May 16, 7:27 PM UTC
2204190	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1	May 16, 9:33 PM UTC
Practical-Executive	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1	May 16, 7:03 PM UTC
Bagzilla	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1	May 16, 9:55 PM UTC
Frightening-Ideal	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1	May 16, 10:28 PM UTC
Deafbull	Yes	1K	0.5%	$5
M2theJJ	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1	May 16, 7:29 PM UTC
0xmv	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1	May 15, 12:50 PM UTC
Atsiputes	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1	May 15, 9:59 PM UTC
Lesbianlowtaperfade	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1	May 16, 7:50 PM UTC
Concrete-Pacemaker	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1	May 16, 7:40 PM UTC
Pushy-Stall	Yes	1K	0.2%	$2
dombelo	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1	May 16, 1:37 PM UTC
Offbeat-Washbasin	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1	May 16, 9:12 PM UTC
Royal Comet 15B1	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1	May 16, 8:51 PM UTC
Puzzled-Compass	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1	May 15, 9:42 PM UTC
Shnoxy	Yes	942.86	2.1%	$20
e46m3	Yes	922.5	0.0%	$0	May 15, 10:28 AM UTC
Jade Horizon 2B6D	Yes	900	0.5%	$4.5
products	Yes	895	2.0%	$17.9
Bxrn	Yes	750.68	1.3%	$10
ZaDarma	Yes	750.01	0.4%	$3.15
JuicyR	Yes	750	0.2%	$1.5
turbota	Yes	750	0.4%	$3
Taler1863	Yes	750	0.4%	$3.33
laznja	Yes	749.99	0.4%	$3
trycharapahi	Yes	749.99	0.4%	$3
NoLoyaltyToTheBosses	Yes	730	0.0%	$0
bobtherob2006	Yes	666.67	0.3%	$1.67
flashy07	Yes	666.67	0.3%	$2
ytr151	Yes	666.67	0.6%	$4
JoE	Yes	629.51	2.0%	$12.59
Unwelcome-Doe	Yes	555.56	0.9%	$5
Indigo Harbor F9F8	Yes	545.46	0.6%	$3.27
Impartial-Connection	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
Magic-Monkey	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
Magnus011	Yes	500	0.2%	$1	May 14, 8:45 PM UTC
Rowdy-Stimulus	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
Aged-Midline	Yes	500	0.2%	$1	May 16, 9:30 PM UTC
GAELLERETOUR	Yes	500	0.6%	$3
Captain88	Yes	500	0.2%	$1	May 14, 11:00 PM UTC
Liormakemony	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
Seabstian	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
itachidfg	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
Renniweg99	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
eduardlaser	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
Sociable-Cooking	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
Rfkfqjrb	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
ShadeEmpire	Yes	500	0.2%	$1	May 16, 9:30 PM UTC
elliottmoore	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
BeerBetter	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
chippo122	Yes	499.99	0.7%	$3.5
Dnjapro	Yes	498.84	0.4%	$2
Draksar	Yes	476.17	0.8%	$3.94
simplystupid188	Yes	417.96	0.5%	$2.28
manue75	Yes	400	0.5%	$2
evanm20282	Yes	400	0.5%	$2
Plump-Deadline	Yes	400	0.5%	$2
Kazmcp	Yes	400	1.0%	$4
tobias2085	Yes	400	0.5%	$2
Nimble-Dibble-Backbone	Yes	400	0.5%	$2
flea65	Yes	399.98	1.0%	$4
GarthBroadmore	Yes	399.96	0.9%	$3.6
a5tthsyuo3c	Yes	340.34	1.5%	$5.14
Zigzag-Fire	Yes	333.33	0.6%	$2
Thorough-Skeleton	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1
kaktusmaktus	Yes	333.33	0.6%	$2
FreeCityIndividual	Yes	333	2.0%	$6.66
gooneri	Yes	293.23	1.7%	$5
Ardtysrt01	Yes	275.52	0.6%	$1.65
Misty Falcon 3C99	Yes	267.14	0.7%	$1.87
Uspakk	Yes	250	0.4%	$1
Lumbering-Nightgown	Yes	250	0.4%	$1
Vengeful-Gorilla	Yes	222.22	0.9%	$2
Gaseous-Bear	Yes	200	0.5%	$1
Crimson Oracle 5B87	Yes	200	0.5%	$1
Truthful-Discharge	Yes	200	0.5%	$1
Incredible-Percentage	Yes	200	0.5%	$1
Azure Horizon B075	Yes	200	0.5%	$1
GustavsRules	Yes	200	0.5%	$1
brodoser	Yes	200	0.5%	$1
degen.prophet	Yes	200	0.5%	$1
Ivory Ledger 8F4D	Yes	200	0.5%	$1
entropygames	Yes	200	0.5%	$1
S3LFMADE	Yes	200	0.5%	$1
april22	Yes	200	0.5%	$1
cloud98	Yes	200	0.5%	$1
plante	Yes	200	0.4%	$0.8
Marvelous-Sponsorship	Yes	200	0.5%	$1
Warped-Pumpkin	Yes	200	0.5%	$1
roxzor	Yes	200	0.5%	$1
Chucky32	Yes	200	0.5%	$1
Welz	Yes	200	0.5%	$1
Lanky-Balloonist	Yes	200	0.5%	$1
V8dude	Yes	200	0.5%	$1
Misty Pioneer AEF1	Yes	200	0.5%	$1
Self-Reliant-Probation	Yes	200	0.5%	$1
Lonely-Ketchup	Yes	200	0.5%	$1
Ngab	Yes	200	0.5%	$1
Mad-Transmission	Yes	200	0.5%	$1
Frigyes86	Yes	200	0.5%	$1
Sunekaer	Yes	181.82	0.5%	$0.91
sellingreality	Yes	181.82	1.1%	$2
Vivid-Reference	Yes	166.67	0.6%	$1
push3d	Yes	166.67	0.6%	$1
needmoney4food	Yes	166.67	0.6%	$1
quiddy	Yes	164.44	0.0%	$0
ng6000	Yes	158	0.7%	$1.11
human.bean	Yes	147.38	1.8%	$2.71
Adventurous-Cheese	Yes	142.86	0.7%	$1
Yawning-Quinoa	Yes	142.86	0.7%	$1
Forked-Struggle	Yes	142.86	0.7%	$1
surlollipop	Yes	142.86	0.7%	$1
Arturouvinov	Yes	142.86	0.7%	$1
panterooo	Yes	142.86	0.7%	$1
Slow-Subgroup	Yes	142.86	0.7%	$1
ghekirinii	Yes	142.86	0.7%	$1
dealeris	Yes	142.86	0.7%	$1
Dishonest-Message	Yes	142.86	0.7%	$1
Aggravating-Plane	Yes	142.85	0.9%	$1.29
Silver Pulse 7AD5	Yes	129.57	0.8%	$1
Stabilo81	Yes	125	0.8%	$1
Grateful-Acrylic	Yes	125	0.8%	$1
jennylulu2016	Yes	124	1.0%	$1.27
Amber Falcon CFF5	Yes	120	1.0%	$1.22
toninachev	Yes	108.41	0.9%	$1
Cobalt Lynx 891E	Yes	105.26	1.9%	$2
Limp-Senate	Yes	100	0.8%	$0.8
Webbed-Prow	Yes	100	2.0%	$2
Amazing-Riddle	Yes	100	1.0%	$1
laoyang01	Yes	100	0.6%	$0.6
Rokokoraccoon	Yes	99.99	0.1%	$0.1
Herr.moms	Yes	90.91	1.1%	$1
Nisse0905	Yes	88.75	1.1%	$1
Repulsive-Routine	Yes	85.19	2.3%	$2
abc1231112441	Yes	84	2.4%	$2.02
GollumGekko	Yes	83.75	1.6%	$1.3
MojoJimmy	Yes	83.33	1.2%	$1
Ezgnd	Yes	83.33	1.2%	$1
Tempting-Wannabe	Yes	83.32	0.5%	$0.42
Satuma	Yes	71.43	1.4%	$1
husky999	Yes	66.67	1.5%	$1
sunshine2305	Yes	62.5	1.6%	$1
korda77	Yes	61.08	1.5%	$0.92	May 14, 10:59 PM UTC
LaBefana	Yes	58.82	1.7%	$1
Tiny-Stance	Yes	58.82	1.7%	$1
Bold-Minion	Yes	54.25	1.8%	$1
echoctrl	Yes	54.21	1.8%	$1
Beloved-Bathtub	Yes	52.5	1.2%	$0.63
Crocoflex	Yes	51.44	5.8%	$3
cry.eth2	Yes	42.31	0.0%	$0
6aHaH	Yes	40	0.6%	$0.24
username-is-not-taken	Yes	36.31	0.0%	$0
wokerjoesleeper	Yes	31.46	0.0%	$0
tttdd	Yes	30	0.6%	$0.18
gazzadk1981	Yes	28.57	0.7%	$0.2
ED28	Yes	26.32	3.8%	$1
SuckLollipop	Yes	25.2	0.5%	$0.13
nepta	Yes	20	1.0%	$0.2
letmecookibegyou	Yes	18.42	0.0%	$0
KabinaKabana	Yes	15.38	0.6%	$0.09
yzhaobk-nrt	Yes	15	0.0%	$0
cash-machine	Yes	10.01	2.0%	$0.2	May 15, 10:29 AM UTC
StevenOBrien1	Yes	10	1.0%	$0.1
Keen Pioneer 1D85	Yes	9	0.4%	$0.04
Crimson Ledger 2573	Yes	9	0.0%	$0
PollyForge	Yes	8.01	0.8%	$0.07
AWEndrew	No	6.22	99.6%	$6.2
3umf	Yes	5.31	0.8%	$0.04
wwder	Yes	5	0.1%	$0.01
Insidious-Maelstrom	Yes	5	1.3%	$0.07
3-mil-on-tour	Yes	5	1.0%	$0.05
bobjonesmom	Yes	5	1.0%	$0.05
Royal Scout 7ACF	Yes	5	1.1%	$0.06
Evador	Yes	3.76	0.9%	$0.03
NoMoreMister	Yes	3.39	1.4%	$0.05
northdrawer	Yes	2.82	1.1%	$0.03
Vuzooni	No	2.01	99.4%	$2
Azure Quasar BBFA	No	2.01	99.5%	$2
sepolo	Yes	1.14	0.0%	$0
BuyTheDip007	Yes	1.04	2.0%	$0.02
Jade Falcon 2704	Yes	0.44	0.9%	$0
shine	Yes	0.35	1.8%	$0.01
EdwardLewis	Yes	0.24	1.9%	$0
26lkkdasdsa	Yes	0.11	1.0%	$0

322 of 322 positions.

Holders by valueThe same holders, ranked by what their position is worth now.

Trader	Holding value
Indigo Signal 2966	$1.96M
AWEndrew	$6.22
Vuzooni	$2.01

Analytics