Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | Yes | 292.18 | $0.342 | $154.86 | +$54.86 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 942.86 | $0.021 | $20 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 307.69 |
| $0.130 |
| $35.38 |
| -$4.62 |
 Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? | Yes | 96.9 | $0.217 | $15.02 | -$5.98 |
| buy |
| 192.31 |
| $0.520 |
| $100 |
| Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.008 | $4 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?Yes | buy | 96.9 | $0.217 | $21 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | buy | 292.18 | $0.342 | $100 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 307.69 | $0.130 | $40 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?No | buy | 159.56 | $0.627 | $100 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?Yes | sell | 157.02 | $0.940 | $147.6 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | sell | 137.2 | $0.023 | $3.12 | Oct 12, 2025 |
 Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Oct 11, 2025 |
 Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?No | sell | 468.62 | $0.050 | $23.57 | Oct 11, 2025 |
| Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?Yes | buy | 157.03 | $0.632 | $99.21 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 94.69 | $0.053 | $5 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?No | buy | 468.63 | $0.045 | $21 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 137.2 | $0.015 | $2 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 64.52 | $0.310 | $20 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.120 | $20 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will turnout be at least 81% in the Netherlands Parliamentary Election 2025?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.050 | $20 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?Yes | buy | 155.56 | $0.270 | $42 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani get more than 70% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 1.11K | $0.009 | $10 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Trump announce run for 3rd term?Yes | buy | 739.57 | $0.069 | $51 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?No | buy | 131.45 | $0.650 | $85.44 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?Yes | sell | 167.83 | $0.320 | $53.71 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?No | buy | 250 | $0.400 | $100 | Jun 27, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?No | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Jun 27, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.013 | $1 | Jun 27, 2025 |
| Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.260 | $20 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 47.61 | $0.410 | $19.52 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.420 | $20 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | buy | 161.76 | $0.340 | $55 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 1?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?Yes | buy | 167.83 | $0.357 | $60 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Will Israel invade Iran before July?Yes | buy | 1.39K | $0.014 | $20 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 215.98 | $0.463 | $100 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Will Israel win Eurovision 2025?Yes | buy | 261.39 | $0.046 | $12 | May 17, 2025 |
 Will Austria be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?Yes | sell | 452.07 | $0.005 | $2.21 | May 17, 2025 |
| Will Austria finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No | buy | 91.67 | $0.011 | $1 | May 17, 2025 |
| Will Austria be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?Yes | buy | 452.07 | $0.024 | $11 | May 17, 2025 |
 Will Germany win Eurovision 2025?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | May 8, 2025 |
 Will Spain win Eurovision 2025?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | May 8, 2025 |
 Will Ireland win Eurovision 2025?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | May 8, 2025 |
 Will Norway win Eurovision 2025?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | May 8, 2025 |
 Will Poland win Eurovision 2025?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | May 8, 2025 |
 Will Armenia win Eurovision 2025?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | May 8, 2025 |
 Will Greece win Eurovision 2025?Yes | buy | 258.2 | $0.004 | $1 | May 8, 2025 |
 Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2025?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | May 8, 2025 |
 Will Georgia win Eurovision 2025?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | May 8, 2025 |
 Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2025?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | May 8, 2025 |