Analytics
Yes is at 0.1%, down 3.4 points from 3.5% when the market opened on 16 Oct 2026.
Across the 6 daily closes on record from 16 Oct 2026 to 22 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 3.5% on 16 Oct 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 22 Oct 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on October 22?”.
$9.1K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $13.21K since listing. The order book holds $110.5K, with a 0.05% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 60 trades, $104.55 bought Yes and $1.76K bought No.
The largest Yes position is NASX33 with 2.5K shares; the largest No position is TraceView with 5.2K. Ten wallets hold 75.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 22 Oct 2026, tomorrow.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 22, 3:26 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 16 Oct 2026 – 22 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Oct 2026 | 3.5% |
| 22 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-october-22-2026
| FakeLove2025 |
| Yes |
| 2K |
| easypredict | No | 1.3K |
| Delicious-Paperwork-Router | Yes | 1.17K |
| Amber Atlas 1978 | Yes | 1.09K |
| ywj888 | Yes | 999.98 |
| zzzgoodwill1 | Yes | 835.99 |
| Impressive-Steak | No | 642 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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