Analytics
Yes is at 99.7%, up 5 points from 94.7% when the market opened on 16 Oct 2026.
The high was 99.7% on 22 Oct 2026 and the low 94.7% on 16 Oct 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on October 22?”.
$64.26K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $84.16K since listing. The order book holds $43.99K, with a 0.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 141 trades, $14.4K bought Yes and $385.01 bought No; the largest was a $2.8K buy of Yes at 99.9¢.
The largest Yes position is Impressive-Steak with 10K shares; the largest No position is theRushingBull with 21.3K. Ten wallets hold 65.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 22 Oct 2026, tomorrow.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 22, 10:10 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 16 Oct 2026 – 22 Oct 2026, chart shows 90%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Oct 2026 | 94.7% |
| 22 Oct 2026 | 99.7% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| theRushingBull | No | 21.31K |
| jjjclv6 | No | 16.88K |
| Impressive-Steak | Yes | 10.02K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-october-22-2026
| shabbysalta |
| Yes |
| 10K |
| beii | No | 8.63K |
| TwinPath | Yes | 5.2K |
| MirrorOutcome | Yes | 5.16K |
| ReflectLens | Yes | 5.13K |
| gt197 | No | 4.06K |
| qqqq88888 | No | 4K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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