Analytics
Yes is at 43%, down 9.5 points from 52.5% when the market opened on 16 Oct 2026.
The high was 74.5% on 21 Oct 2026 and the low 43.6% on 22 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 31 points down, to 43.6% on 22 Oct 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on October 22?”.
$85.68K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $89.7K since listing. The order book holds $43.86K, with a 1.8% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $11.96K bought Yes and $4.74K bought No; the largest was a $2.35K buy of Yes at 96.0¢.
The largest Yes position is Impressive-Steak with 3K shares; the largest No position is Fine-Discrimination with 1.4K. Ten wallets hold 57.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 22 Oct 2026, tomorrow.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 22, 9:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 16 Oct 2026 – 22 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Oct 2026 | 52.5% |
| 22 Oct 2026 | 43.6% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Steak | Yes | 3.02K |
| Rapid Maven 7394 | Yes | 1.91K |
| Fine-Discrimination | No | 1.42K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-october-22-2026
| ComTruise | No | 1.37K |
| vedaresearch.btc | No | 1.06K |
| 0xDB5 | No | 997.57 |
| PBot-10 | No | 939.4 |
| Vasyatrade23 | No | 928.25 |
| rizotor | No | 844.11 |
| gobblewobble | Yes | 819.59 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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