Analytics
Yes is at 100%, up 3 points from 97% when the market opened on 16 Oct 2026.
Across the 6 daily closes on record from 16 Oct 2026 to 22 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 100% on 22 Oct 2026 and the lowest 97% on 16 Oct 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on October 22?”.
$12.27K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $60.02K since listing. The order book holds $72.01K, with a 0.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 131 trades, $10.32K bought Yes and $595.28 bought No; the largest was a $3.11K buy of Yes at 99.9¢.
The largest Yes position is Impressive-Steak with 18K shares; the largest No position is beii with 12.4K. Ten wallets hold 77.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 22 Oct 2026, tomorrow.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 22, 1:20 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 16 Oct 2026 – 22 Oct 2026, chart shows 90%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Oct 2026 | 97.0% |
| 22 Oct 2026 | 100.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Steak | Yes | 18.03K |
| beii | No | 12.43K |
| venezuelain | Yes | 8.01K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-october-22-2026
| gt197 |
| No |
| 4.39K |
| xiaojido202 | Yes | 3.64K |
| Coral Meteor 57FE | No | 2.34K |
| e46m3 | Yes | 2.01K |
| Cengxko | No | 2K |
| coinfilippe | Yes | 1.4K |
| Last-Envy | No | 1.38K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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