Analytics
Yes is at 2.5%, down 30 points from 32% when the market opened on 16 Oct 2026.
Across the 6 daily closes on record from 16 Oct 2026 to 22 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 32% on 16 Oct 2026 and the lowest 2.5% on 22 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 10 points up, to 26.5% on 21 Oct 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on October 22?”.
$139.12K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $150.3K since listing. The order book holds $42.34K, with a 0.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $7.35K bought Yes and $39.07K bought No; the largest was a $9.84K buy of No at 98.0¢.
The largest Yes position is Louuuummm with 36.5K shares; the largest No position is easyclap with 18.9K. Ten wallets hold 75.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 22 Oct 2026, tomorrow.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 22, 12:16 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 16 Oct 2026 – 22 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Oct 2026 | 32.0% |
| 22 Oct 2026 | 2.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Louuuummm | Yes | 36.46K |
| easyclap | No | 18.94K |
| Impressive-Steak | No | 13.94K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Resolution source: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-october-22-2026
| ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing |
| No |
| 10.04K |
| aosdijf | Yes | 6.6K |
| Nothfail | No | 5.23K |
| gobblewobble | Yes | 3.8K |
| ssddssd | No | 3.64K |
| wwweb4 | Yes | 3.4K |
| mmzhu3 | Yes | 2.66K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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