Analytics
Yes is at 0.1%, down 7 points from 7% when the market opened on 16 Oct 2026.
The high was 7% on 16 Oct 2026 and the low 0.1% on 22 Oct 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on October 22?”.
$53.01K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $72.68K since listing. The order book holds $48.25K, with a 0.05% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 278 trades, $372.5 bought Yes and $32.98K bought No; the largest was a $7.37K buy of No at 95.0¢.
The largest Yes position is Vasyatrade23 with 8.6K shares; the largest No position is Impressive-Steak with 9.3K. Ten wallets hold 57.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 22 Oct 2026, tomorrow.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 22, 9:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 16 Oct 2026 – 22 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Oct 2026 | 7.0% |
| 22 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Steak | No | 9.28K |
| Vasyatrade23 | Yes | 8.59K |
| bifurcatio | No | 7.76K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-october-22-2026
| Rapid Maven 7394 |
| No |
| 3.46K |
| 0xDB5 | Yes | 3.43K |
| jakebet | No | 3.21K |
| NASX33 | Yes | 3.06K |
| soylentgoy | No | 3.01K |
| TwilightTide | Yes | 2.37K |
| bc1qpfuf2ynwcynnf9aczxvqgumxsznsunrk0r9tn3 | Yes | 2.11K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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