Analytics
Yes is at 99.7%, up 12 points from 88% when the market opened on 16 Oct 2026.
The high was 99.7% on 22 Oct 2026 and the low 88% on 16 Oct 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on October 22?”.
$132.45K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $164.84K since listing. The order book holds $44.48K, with a 0.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $62.05K bought Yes and $392.85 bought No; the largest was a $23K buy of Yes at 99.9¢.
The largest Yes position is jjjclv6 with 23K shares; the largest No position is Favorable-Pepper-Brushing with 11.1K. Ten wallets hold 54% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 22 Oct 2026, tomorrow.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 22, 11:04 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 16 Oct 2026 – 22 Oct 2026, chart shows 85%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Oct 2026 | 88.0% |
| 22 Oct 2026 | 99.7% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| jjjclv6 | Yes | 23.02K |
| Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | No | 11.14K |
| Impressive-Steak | Yes | 7.33K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-october-22-2026
| qqqq88888 | No | 6.75K |
| thismonth | No | 6.49K |
| KFai | Yes | 5.3K |
| babybaby1234 | No | 5K |
| averagerandomman | No | 4.68K |
| Spirit-LT | No | 3.63K |
| woshisb | No | 3.41K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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