Analytics
Yes is at 0.1%, down 16 points from 16% when the market opened on 16 Oct 2026.
Across the 7 daily closes on record from 16 Oct 2026 to 22 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 16% on 16 Oct 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 22 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 8 points down, to 8% on 17 Oct 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on October 22?”.
$133.34K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $159K since listing. The order book holds $50.8K, with a 0.05% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $3.11K bought Yes and $61.03K bought No; the largest was a $16.98K buy of No at 99.9¢.
The largest Yes position is Sugarlatte with 20.8K shares; the largest No position is YautjaPM2 with 17K. Ten wallets hold 60.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 22 Oct 2026, tomorrow.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 22, 2:56 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 16 Oct 2026 – 22 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Oct 2026 | 16.0% |
| 22 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Sugarlatte | Yes | 20.75K |
| YautjaPM2 | No | 17K |
| Louuuummm | Yes | 11.03K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-october-22-2026
| TwilightTide |
| Yes |
| 10.39K |
| Candela | No | 10K |
| Calmakim | Yes | 9.96K |
| Impressive-Steak | No | 9.5K |
| SingW | Yes | 5.37K |
| gobblewobble | No | 5.06K |
| negar | Yes | 4.51K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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