Analytics
Yes is at 95.4%, up 25 points from 70% when the market opened on 17 Oct 2026.
Across the 7 daily closes on record from 17 Oct 2026 to 23 Oct 2026, the highest close was 95.4% on 23 Oct 2026 and the lowest 69% on 18 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points up, to 92.5% on 21 Oct 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on October 23?”.
$63.41K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $130.71K since listing. The order book holds $41.75K, with a 0.2% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $20.49K bought Yes and $7.04K bought No; the largest was a $1.24K buy of Yes at 96.0¢.
The largest Yes position is Impressive-Steak with 21.9K shares; the largest No position is Quiet Falcon 3CA7 with 31.1K. Ten wallets hold 75.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 23 Oct 2026, tomorrow.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 6:50 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 17 Oct 2026 – 23 Oct 2026, chart shows 60%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2026 | 70.0% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 95.4% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Quiet Falcon 3CA7 | No | 31.08K |
| Impressive-Steak | Yes | 21.92K |
| never-stop-clicking | No | 7.34K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-october-23-2026
| ssddssd | Yes | 6.08K |
| Rapid Maven 7394 | Yes | 5.11K |
| Fine-Discrimination | No | 3.2K |
| hentaivirus | Yes | 3.17K |
| kingofcoinflips | Yes | 3.13K |
| Marioy | Yes | 2K |
| ComTruise | Yes | 1.98K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
