Analytics
Yes is at 3.6%, down 20 points from 24% when the market opened on 17 Oct 2026.
Across the 7 daily closes on record from 17 Oct 2026 to 23 Oct 2026, the highest close was 32% on 21 Oct 2026 and the lowest 3% on 23 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 10 points up, to 32% on 21 Oct 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on October 23?”.
$68.36K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $81.87K since listing. The order book holds $41.64K, with a 0.3% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 257 trades, $2.27K bought Yes and $35.59K bought No; the largest was a $6.19K buy of No at 97.0¢.
The largest Yes position is Louuuummm with 7.2K shares; the largest No position is Quiet Falcon 3CA7 with 16.6K. Ten wallets hold 82.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 23 Oct 2026, tomorrow.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 3:10 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 17 Oct 2026 – 23 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2026 | 24.0% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 3.7% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Quiet Falcon 3CA7 | No | 16.63K |
| Impressive-Steak | No | 14.92K |
| Louuuummm | Yes | 7.24K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-october-23-2026
| Vasyatrade23 | Yes | 6.79K |
| Corny-Mincemeat | Yes | 6.43K |
| 4618 | Yes | 4.08K |
| omnibus-424779 | Yes | 3.67K |
| Fine-Discrimination | Yes | 2.99K |
| coinfilippe | No | 1.95K |
| ComTruise | No | 1.74K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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