Analytics
Yes is at 100%, up 1.9 points from 98% when the market opened on 17 Oct 2026.
Across the 7 daily closes on record from 17 Oct 2026 to 23 Oct 2026, the highest close was 100% on 23 Oct 2026 and the lowest 98% on 18 Oct 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on October 23?”.
$26.76K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $33.25K since listing. The order book holds $131.46K, with a 0.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 56 trades, $15.92K bought Yes and $19.26 bought No; the largest was a $9.12K buy of Yes at 99.9¢.
The largest Yes position is shabbysalta with 16.8K shares; the largest No position is theRushingBull with 9.4K. Ten wallets hold 80.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 23 Oct 2026, tomorrow.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 7:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 17 Oct 2026 – 23 Oct 2026, chart shows 90%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2026 | 98.0% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 100.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| shabbysalta | Yes | 16.78K |
| theRushingBull | No | 9.43K |
| Facaie | Yes | 9.13K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-october-23-2026
| Impressive-Steak |
| Yes |
| 6.18K |
| gt197 | No | 3.84K |
| Cobalt Oracle 871D | No | 2K |
| Indigo Maven 5C12 | No | 2K |
| 196874353278 | No | 1.73K |
| Bright Beacon B02B | No | 1.09K |
| Swift Pulse 7D10 | No | 1.09K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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