Analytics
Yes is at 99.2%, up 5.2 points from 94% when the market opened on 17 Oct 2026.
Across the 5 daily closes on record from 17 Oct 2026 to 22 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 99.2% on 21 Oct 2026 and the lowest 94% on 17 Oct 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on October 23?”.
$35.72K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $44.68K since listing. The order book holds $47.06K, with a 0.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 143 trades, $17.48K bought Yes and $228.65 bought No; the largest was a $1.34K buy of Yes at 99.1¢.
The largest Yes position is Impressive-Steak with 10.4K shares; the largest No position is beii with 8.6K. Ten wallets hold 69.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 23 Oct 2026, tomorrow.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 22, 10:22 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 17 Oct 2026 – 22 Oct 2026, chart shows 90%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2026 | 94.0% |
| 22 Oct 2026 | 99.2% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Steak | Yes | 10.42K |
| beii | No | 8.61K |
| gt197 | No | 5.38K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-october-23-2026
| KFai |
| Yes |
| 5.31K |
| Spirit-LT | No | 5K |
| theRushingBull | No | 2.92K |
| 0xDB5 | Yes | 2.88K |
| Quiet Falcon 3CA7 | Yes | 2.84K |
| PmDerek | Yes | 2.73K |
| coinfilippe | No | 2.64K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
