Analytics
Yes is at 38.5%, down 7 points from 45.5% when the market opened on 17 Oct 2026.
Across the 6 daily closes on record from 17 Oct 2026 to 22 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 69.5% on 21 Oct 2026 and the lowest 38.5% on 22 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 19 points up, to 69.5% on 21 Oct 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on October 23?”.
$34.13K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $43.45K since listing. The order book holds $43.4K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 232 trades, $5.31K bought Yes and $7.76K bought No; the largest was a $2.04K buy of No at 45.0¢.
The largest Yes position is easypredict with 2.7K shares; the largest No position is ssddssd with 10.2K. Ten wallets hold 86% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 23 Oct 2026, tomorrow.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 22, 4:25 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 17 Oct 2026 – 22 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2026 | 45.5% |
| 22 Oct 2026 | 38.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ssddssd | No | 10.18K |
| gobblewobble | No | 3.06K |
| easypredict | Yes | 2.65K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-october-23-2026
| Rapid Maven 7394 |
| Yes |
| 1.85K |
| Impressive-Steak | Yes | 1.66K |
| ComTruise | Yes | 1.47K |
| coinfilippe | Yes | 1.2K |
| PBot-10 | No | 1.16K |
| gt197 | Yes | 1.1K |
| BipTheDip | Yes | 1.03K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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