Analytics
Yes is at 0.1%, down 2.2 points from 2.3% when the market opened on 17 Oct 2026.
Across the 5 daily closes on record from 17 Oct 2026 to 23 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 2.3% on 17 Oct 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 23 Oct 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on October 23?”.
$12.2K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $28.19K since listing. The order book holds $77.89K, with a 0.05% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 34 trades, $147.71 bought Yes and $4.61K bought No; the largest was a $3.75K buy of No at 99.0¢.
The largest Yes position is eternulbull with 7.1K shares; the largest No position is shabbysalta with 10.1K. Ten wallets hold 88.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 23 Oct 2026, tomorrow.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 6:48 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 17 Oct 2026 – 23 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2026 | 2.3% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| shabbysalta | No | 10.13K |
| Impressive-Steak | No | 9.72K |
| eternulbull | Yes | 7.14K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-october-23-2026
| NASX33 |
| Yes |
| 5K |
| theRushingBull | Yes | 3.09K |
| Quiet Falcon 3CA7 | No | 3.06K |
| OJ530 | Yes | 2.5K |
| Indigo Maven 5C12 | Yes | 2K |
| r3dc0d3r | Yes | 1.19K |
| zzzgoodwill1 | Yes | 1.14K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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