Analytics
Yes is at 0.8%, down 9.8 points from 10.5% when the market opened on 17 Oct 2026.
Across the 6 daily closes on record from 17 Oct 2026 to 23 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 10.5% on 17 Oct 2026 and the lowest 0.8% on 23 Oct 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on October 23?”.
$45.13K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $69.53K since listing. The order book holds $48.61K, with a 0.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 192 trades, $1.26K bought Yes and $25.31K bought No; the largest was a $6.86K buy of No at 93.0¢.
The largest Yes position is Louuuummm with 9.8K shares; the largest No position is Impressive-Steak with 10.4K. Ten wallets hold 64.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 23 Oct 2026, tomorrow.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 12:44 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 17 Oct 2026 – 23 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2026 | 10.5% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 0.8% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Steak | No | 10.36K |
| Louuuummm | Yes | 9.76K |
| Vasyatrade23 | Yes | 8.91K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-october-23-2026
| Quiet Falcon 3CA7 |
| Yes |
| 8.01K |
| jakebet | No | 3.39K |
| gangwarharshit | No | 2.5K |
| chet010 | No | 2.21K |
| GoodLuck68886 | No | 2.09K |
| soylentgoy | No | 2.01K |
| robert-mukhametov | No | 2.01K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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