Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?

Name: Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31? — implied probability history
License: https://vultax.com/legal/terms

Resolved

No · settled Jan 1, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$443.0K

Resolved

Settled

Jan 1, 2026 UTC

Positions left after settlementWinners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
anjin987	Yes	17.04K	16.3%	$17.12K
AllByMyseIf	Yes	6.02K	19.2%	$12.11K
asdasd123fd	Yes	5.36K	2.8%	$5.36K	Dec 31, 12:33 AM UTC
Murky-Abnormality	Yes	3.31K	21.2%	$3.31K
jjjtesty	Yes	2.16K	13.7%	$3.16K
funding	Yes	2K	24.0%	$3K
gopfan2	Yes	1.72K	23.0%	$1.79K
ClownPagliacci	Yes	1.17K	5.1%	$4.61K
Raven420	Yes	1.16K	25.9%	$1.16K
Player2088	Yes	1.12K	1.8%	$1.12K	Dec 29, 2:44 PM UTC
ocneooaindoiadn	Yes	999.95	29.0%	$999.95
boiling.cauldron	Yes	841.84	23.8%	$841.84
tutunuru	Yes	720	6.9%	$947.27
vlbs	Yes	666.67	1.5%	$666.67	Dec 29, 12:07 PM UTC
inw2	Yes	613.55	72.2%	$613.55
eppixx	Yes	514.4	3.4%	$514.4	Dec 26, 4:38 PM UTC
Vexor	Yes	499.99	8.4%	$499.99
Cypherav	Yes	458.58	28.9%	$458.58
Suburban-Wolf	Yes	432.43	0.3%	$2.37K	Dec 26, 5:05 PM UTC
Moist-Offence	Yes	422.03	23.7%	$422.03
Quick-Suffocation	Yes	405.2	23.0%	$405.2
ankh2054	Yes	368.52	6.8%	$368.52	Dec 21, 7:59 AM UTC
Bright Horizon 81D6	Yes	361	0.1%	$361
LILDON	Yes	309.59	16.2%	$309.59
kamarat	Yes	300	1.0%	$300
DonSpyro	Yes	289.9	17.2%	$289.9
TATATADJO	Yes	283.33	17.6%	$283.33
phanpy	Yes	278.92	10.4%	$278.92	Dec 22, 7:28 AM UTC
ZIXON	Yes	277.78	18.0%	$277.78
RISKMANAGMENT	Yes	277.78	18.0%	$277.78
SORLOT	Yes	277.78	18.0%	$277.78
ALIEN	Yes	277.78	18.0%	$277.78
GAMBLERINANDOUT	Yes	277.47	18.3%	$277.47
Emerald Pioneer D14A	Yes	276	0.1%	$276
GAMBLINGADDICTION	Yes	266.63	18.8%	$266.63
DISPLAYGAME	Yes	263.67	19.0%	$263.67
OBBSGRINDER	Yes	263.16	19.0%	$263.16
SCAZCORP	Yes	263.16	19.0%	$263.16
GAMBLELIFE	Yes	263.16	19.0%	$263.16
LILDURK	Yes	263.16	19.0%	$263.16
pedrogutierrez	Yes	261.73	36.5%	$261.73
jeegles	Yes	258.72	7.7%	$258.72
KashKing	Yes	254.95	19.7%	$254.95
ChangingLife	Yes	254.5	20.0%	$254.5
Grinder	Yes	250.2	20.0%	$250.2
HITCH	Yes	250.19	20.0%	$250.19
LILDOLLAZ	Yes	250	20.0%	$250
LilRich	Yes	250	20.0%	$250
SlayerX	Yes	250	20.0%	$250
PreRich	Yes	250	20.0%	$250
Numb-Crystallography	Yes	220.16	11.3%	$345.16
26lkkdasdsa	Yes	202.51	0.4%	$1.55K	Dec 29, 9:14 AM UTC
Loyal-Parameter	Yes	201.68	24.8%	$201.68
trdtrdwal	No	200	29.4%	$200
snowmann	Yes	199	1.7%	$199	Dec 28, 10:47 PM UTC
Bold Scout BD7E	Yes	181	0.1%	$181
Kreww	Yes	166.67	1.8%	$166.67	Dec 29, 4:47 AM UTC
0xRocket666	Yes	150	0.1%	$150
Crimson Vector F03A	Yes	150	0.1%	$150
schoolcope	Yes	148.05	20.0%	$148.05
Carterkeith	Yes	148	25.1%	$235
Absolute-Jellyfish	Yes	139.88	7.1%	$139.88
Unlawful-Specialist	No	128.35	77.9%	$128.35
Qpllll	Yes	117.65	1.7%	$117.65	Dec 29, 6:35 AM UTC
Jade Harbor B075	Yes	115	0.1%	$115
Calculating-Procedure	Yes	107	9.3%	$107
Tryti	Yes	105.26	19.0%	$105.26
Fozzyfur	Yes	103.5	1.0%	$103.5	Dec 30, 6:50 AM UTC
kingoftheuniverse	Yes	100	23.0%	$200
Duck46	Yes	100	7.5%	$100
bubblik	Yes	100	1.0%	$100	Dec 30, 4:43 PM UTC
Polba	Yes	100	22.0%	$100
Violet Vector B233	Yes	100	9.9%	$100
0xheudh	Yes	99.98	1.5%	$99.98	Dec 28, 8:52 PM UTC
Scrawny-Sink	Yes	93.86	26.6%	$93.86
Roelanddo	Yes	90.91	22.0%	$90.91
Merlot	Yes	89	26.6%	$89
tko55688	Yes	81.03	4.3%	$81.03	Dec 25, 5:56 PM UTC
LuckyCharmz	Yes	81	33.0%	$81
dcs18	Yes	80	17.4%	$80
S888	Yes	80	20.7%	$80
NotSoLucky	Yes	76.92	1.3%	$76.92	Dec 30, 7:15 AM UTC
prophesy	Yes	70	25.0%	$70
SinonXD	Yes	70	16.0%	$70
invidiousraptor	Yes	68.18	22.0%	$68.18
Guggs	Yes	65.2	21.5%	$65.2
intellectualsystem	Yes	65.18	7.7%	$210.25
WannaBetNot3000	Yes	64.52	31.0%	$64.52
cantuking123	Yes	63.64	11.0%	$63.64
Favorite-Detail	Yes	62.5	16.0%	$62.5
Grimy-Route	Yes	62.5	1.6%	$62.5	Dec 29, 11:02 PM UTC
shwd	Yes	60.97	7.0%	$60.97	Dec 22, 8:03 PM UTC
5koludiqtip	Yes	58.82	17.0%	$58.82
Strident-Barium	Yes	57.31	7.0%	$57.31	Dec 21, 12:41 PM UTC
eepas	Yes	55.56	18.0%	$55.56
Vivid-Cleft	Yes	55.56	1.8%	$55.56	Dec 28, 11:15 PM UTC
crw428	Yes	55.56	1.8%	$55.56	Dec 28, 11:33 PM UTC
Emerald Orbit ED13	Yes	55.5	0.0%	$0
loodique	Yes	54.49	6.3%	$54.49
hitthejackpott	Yes	52.63	19.0%	$52.63
goatjp	Yes	52	19.2%	$52
GMM1	Yes	50	18.0%	$50
Owwwnn	Yes	48.04	0.1%	$48.04
Cronnozzz	Yes	45.09	0.1%	$45.09
Luminous-Anger	No	44.44	90.0%	$44.44
bymiyu29	Yes	43.61	6.9%	$43.61
minticetea	Yes	43.48	6.9%	$373.73	Dec 21, 12:11 PM UTC
Whirlwind-Gravitas	Yes	43.48	23.0%	$43.48
Kanp	Yes	42.98	0.1%	$42.98
Blaorra	Yes	42.21	0.1%	$42.21
Jjjjjjjj	Yes	41.67	24.0%	$41.67
bootyburglar	Yes	41.39	3.6%	$41.39	Dec 28, 11:49 AM UTC
Heavy-Savage	Yes	40	23.0%	$40
Awestin.eth	Yes	39.8	25.0%	$39.8
Avvnnnn	Yes	38.38	0.1%	$38.38
Rlso	Yes	37.45	0.1%	$37.45
Shipoo	Yes	36.45	0.1%	$36.45
Jas0matic	No	35.21	71.0%	$35.21
Yukaii	Yes	33.89	0.1%	$33.89
Suuvesi	Yes	33.33	15.0%	$33.33
loki3366	Yes	31.84	31.4%	$31.84
therealstarlord	Yes	31.25	16.0%	$31.25
Overjoyed-Skiing	Yes	31.25	6.4%	$31.25
Jhojnjohn	Yes	30	24.0%	$30
Calculating-Other	Yes	29.67	3.4%	$29.67	Dec 26, 8:19 AM UTC
karagrin	Yes	26.32	19.0%	$26.32
Tuque	Yes	26	23.8%	$26
florian1414	Yes	26	25.0%	$26
Key-Ignorance	No	25.64	78.0%	$25.64
JE7331	Yes	25.27	27.7%	$25.27
ValerieGraham9908	Yes	25	35.0%	$215
Thingol	Yes	25	16.0%	$25
jewsdidnothingwrong	Yes	23.26	19.3%	$23.26
gamblinguy	Yes	23	16.8%	$23
BigMoneyMan2442	Yes	21.74	23.0%	$21.74
sotoalt	Yes	21.74	23.0%	$21.74
Pessimistic-Wealth	Yes	21.74	23.0%	$21.74
letsspeakfreely	Yes	21.3	25.8%	$21.3
switchfire	Yes	20	17.0%	$20
Takeshi420	Yes	20	10.0%	$20
haynbun	Yes	20	11.0%	$20
web3stripe	Yes	17.03	23.5%	$17.03
kashvi	Yes	16.8	25.0%	$16.8
Mad-Status	Yes	16.67	12.0%	$16.67
re2	Yes	15.87	6.3%	$15.87
Bright Pioneer EE58	Yes	15.87	6.3%	$15.87
egormzv	Yes	15.15	6.6%	$15.15	Dec 22, 5:17 PM UTC
rocketcrypto	Yes	15	1.0%	$15
BerLiN5	No	14	76.0%	$14
TasciJoe	Yes	13.78	32.0%	$13.78
Bruised-Tea	Yes	13.51	7.4%	$13.51
nilson1	No	13	76.0%	$13
empires54	Yes	12.92	25.0%	$12.92
Handsome-Tear	Yes	12.9	31.0%	$12.9
ace0fspdes	Yes	12.82	7.8%	$12.82
hockeyfan420	Yes	12.82	7.8%	$12.82
Gabz1	Yes	12.82	7.8%	$12.82
Tung.Tung.Tung.Sahur	Yes	12.5	24.0%	$12.5
Cosmic Oracle AAB8	Yes	12	9.0%	$12
maria1123	No	11.11	90.0%	$11.11
suntzu91	No	11	77.0%	$11
Striped-Attempt	Yes	10.1	9.9%	$10.1
Legend-	Yes	10	19.0%	$10
Heldin	Yes	10	20.0%	$50
AsuraSmellsLikeASS	Yes	10	0.1%	$10
Gooneryusi	Yes	10	34.0%	$10
Frank-Liquor	Yes	10	10.0%	$10
elolerne	Yes	10	10.0%	$10
Bitx7	Yes	10	10.0%	$10
wesleythegreat	No	10	75.0%	$12
dsuri	Yes	9.68	31.0%	$9.68
Koritardio	Yes	9.42	31.0%	$9.42
Sandy-Incentive	Yes	9.09	11.0%	$9.09
russal4749	Yes	9.09	11.0%	$9.09
Interesting-Finer	Yes	9.09	11.0%	$9.09
dzajant2	Yes	9.09	11.0%	$9.09
lCEMAN	Yes	8.7	23.0%	$8.7
snusy	Yes	8.33	12.0%	$8.33
Ulianka	Yes	8	24.0%	$8
Broken-Peony	Yes	7.83	24.0%	$7.83
richirokez	Yes	7.69	13.0%	$7.69
Ronerop	Yes	7	24.0%	$7
Unripe-Difficulty	Yes	6.67	15.0%	$6.67
Smart-bettor7	Yes	6.29	13.0%	$6.29
betman1234	Yes	6	25.0%	$6
Ohlyshit	Yes	6	18.0%	$6
Mamay777	Yes	6	24.0%	$6
cryptodancer	Yes	5.56	36.0%	$5.56
goontown	Yes	5.26	19.0%	$5.26
Unhealthy-Assault	Yes	5.26	19.0%	$5.26
lixma	Yes	5.26	19.0%	$5.26
Jade Maven D753	Yes	5.26	19.0%	$5.26
bjprolo	Yes	5	1.0%	$5
Agadonga	Yes	5	27.0%	$5
Soukali	Yes	5	20.0%	$5
nj47	Yes	5	23.0%	$5
NorskTipping69	Yes	5	27.0%	$5
0x03f66a7	Yes	4.76	21.0%	$4.76
rvdijk	Yes	4.55	22.0%	$4.55
ikoza	Yes	4.55	22.0%	$4.55
Rowdy-Movement	Yes	4.55	22.0%	$4.55
Emerald Maven 05BB	Yes	4.49	0.0%	$0
bhjvdfgsfdsgju465o	No	4.39	82.0%	$4.39
tanlai89	Yes	4.17	24.0%	$4.17
SE-KZZ	Yes	4.17	24.0%	$4.17
EkaLem	Yes	4.17	24.0%	$4.17
Punctual-Assault	Yes	4.17	24.0%	$4.17
e4c6	Yes	4.17	24.0%	$4.17
0000Ant	Yes	4.17	24.0%	$4.17
NNIKERSS	Yes	4.17	24.0%	$4.17
Ox04mads084hj5t20n34v144v1	Yes	4	25.0%	$4
t-pjo	Yes	4	25.0%	$4
Telak	Yes	4	25.0%	$4
Pricey-Optimisation	Yes	4	25.0%	$4
Unhappy-Hotdog	Yes	3.85	26.0%	$3.85
0x1E6	Yes	3.85	26.0%	$3.85
dlsks	No	3.85	78.0%	$3.85
timigenk	Yes	3.45	29.0%	$3.45
tradergoga	Yes	1.54	65.0%	$1.54
crew13	No	1.47	75.0%	$1.47
vixhwesh	No	1.41	71.0%	$1.41
Silver Orbit C640	No	0.07	70.0%	$248.57
Misty Quasar 5B8F	Yes	0.05	22.0%	$2K
Emerald Meteor BC8F	No	0.04	75.0%	$1K
Neon Comet 0E19	Yes	0.03	0.0%	$0
Formal-Enemy	No	0.02	96.8%	$12.02	Dec 26, 12:48 AM UTC
Neon Comet 0E19	No	0.02	0.0%	$0
Bright Pulse CF2A	Yes	0.02	23.2%	$1.62K
Haradwaith	Yes	0.02	17.0%	$1.33K	Dec 22, 10:08 PM UTC
Bold Scout 47C4	No	0.02	74.7%	$445
Bright Signal E8A2	Yes	0.02	24.0%	$44.04
Bright Beacon 7FC1	Yes	0.02	6.3%	$264.73
Misty Orbit B0C4	Yes	0.01	8.0%	$599.99
Cobalt Atlas DC14	No	0.01	80.0%	$100
Violet Vector A349	No	0.01	69.0%	$820
Golden Signal 6C7A	No	0.01	71.0%	$170
Swift Atlas 5CC4	No	0.01	95.8%	$49.99
Bold Voyager F5E7	No	0.01	83.0%	$200
Violet Ledger D81F	No	0.01	94.0%	$1.01K
Quiet Lynx 6378	No	0.01	81.0%	$100
Golden Atlas 1A3E	Yes	0.01	32.0%	$7.46
Jade Beacon D963	Yes	0.01	0.9%	$2.2K
Golden Quasar EB4C	No	0.01	75.0%	$140

243 of 243 positions.

Holders by valueThe same holders, ranked by what their position is worth now.

Trader	Holding value
trdtrdwal	$200
Unlawful-Specialist	$128.35
Luminous-Anger	$44.44

Analytics