Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 42.7 | $0.117 | $4.51 | -$0.49 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Counter-Strike: Endless Journey vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #8 Group AEndless Journey | buy | 9.52 | $0.420 | $4 | 17d ago |
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Thingol is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #2,464,496 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows -$61.34 observed lifetime PnL, 113 distinct markets, 50 resolved positions, a 68.0% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0x6934df8817e905977ab3cae3de8ef907171edaa2
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| No |
| 81.82 |
| $0.220 |
| $3.85 |
| -$14.15 |
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 13.7 | $0.365 | $2.27 | -$2.73 |
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1.1 | +$0.1 |
| sell |
| 7.14 |
| $0.600 |
| $4.28 |
| 17d ago |
Counter-Strike: Endless Journey vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #8 Group AHAVU | buy | 7.14 | $0.560 | $4 | 17d ago |
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Play-InBNK FEARX | sell | 4.22 | $0.940 | $3.97 | 17d ago |
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | 17d ago |
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Play-InBNK FEARX | buy | 4.23 | $0.710 | $3 | 17d ago |
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division PlayoffsROSSMANN Centaurs | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | 19d ago |
Dota 2: Team Syntax vs RE.Arise (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group BTeam Syntax | sell | 2 | $0.490 | $0.98 | 19d ago |
Dota 2: Team Syntax vs RE.Arise (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group BTeam Syntax | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | 19d ago |
Dota 2: FTS vs PuckChamp (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group APuckChamp | sell | 1.12 | $0.999 | $1.12 | 19d ago |
Dota 2: FTS vs PuckChamp (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group APuckChamp | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | 19d ago |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?No | buy | 81.82 | $0.220 | $18 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 13.7 | $0.365 | $5 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 42.7 | $0.117 | $5 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 29.41 | $0.999 | $29.38 | Jul 19, 2026 |
Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.110 | $2 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 42.37 | $0.073 | $3.09 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.060 | $3 | Jun 13, 2026 |
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?Yes | buy | 7.41 | $0.810 | $6 | Jun 13, 2026 |
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?Yes | sell | 8.69 | $0.999 | $8.68 | Jun 13, 2026 |
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?Yes | buy | 8.7 | $0.460 | $4 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?Yes | sell | 39.69 | $0.050 | $1.98 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.320 | $5 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?Yes | sell | 19.04 | $0.410 | $7.81 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 10.13 | $0.395 | $4 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?Yes | buy | 24.07 | $0.540 | $13 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?Yes | buy | 19.05 | $0.210 | $4 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?Yes | sell | 21.05 | $0.999 | $21.03 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?Yes | buy | 18.75 | $0.320 | $6 | Jun 11, 2026 |
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?Yes | buy | 21.05 | $0.380 | $8 | Jun 11, 2026 |
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.999 | $14.27 | Jun 11, 2026 |
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 45.87 | $0.109 | $5 | Jun 11, 2026 |
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 31.06 | $0.161 | $5 | Jun 11, 2026 |
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Jun 11, 2026 |
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.700 | $10 | Jun 11, 2026 |
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 42.37 | $0.118 | $5 | Jun 11, 2026 |
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 5.55 | $0.130 | $0.72 | Jun 11, 2026 |
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?Yes | buy | 9.24 | $0.327 | $3.02 | Jan 6, 2026 |
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?Yes | sell | 3.38 | $0.190 | $0.64 | Jan 6, 2026 |
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 7.69 | $0.310 | $2.38 | Jan 6, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump say "fentanyl" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes | buy | 7.46 | $0.810 | $6.04 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?No | sell | 11.9 | $0.460 | $5.47 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Trump announces new drug boat strike by January 10?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.360 | $3 | Dec 31, 2025 |
Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?No | buy | 11.9 | $0.420 | $5 | Dec 31, 2025 |
Will Stranger Things: Season 5 have more than 75 million views the week of the finale?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.070 | $2 | Dec 31, 2025 |
Trump announces new drug boat strike by January 10?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.360 | $2 | Dec 31, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Dec 31, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.055 | $1 | Dec 31, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.92 | $0.169 | $1 | Dec 31, 2025 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.